AC Milan vs Napoli Betting Tips

AC Milan are hosting Napoli at the San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan on 15th March 2021 Monday at 1:15 AM IST. A High Octane clash between two of Italy’s biggest clubs promises to be a fantastic contest to close out the weekend football. 

AC Milan Form & Team News

AC Milan are the second-placed team in the Serie A points table this season. In the 26 games they have played so far, they have won 17 games and lost four while drawing five games in the process. They have a secured a total of 56 points with a goal difference of +20. At home, Milan have a pretty bad record comparing their stunning away record. They have won just six games from the 13 games played and lost three while drawing four games as well. Milan are on a five-match unbeaten streak but have won only two games out of that drawing all of the rest of the matches. Their last match against the mighty Manchester United at Old Trafford in the Europa League resulted in a stalemate with a scoreline of 1-1. AC Milan even while keeping losses at bay, still have to focus on winning more games and a win against Napoli in the next game might just be the trigger for a great finish this season.

Alessio Romagnoli, Daniel Maldini, Ante Rebic, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Mario Mandzukic, and Ismael Bennacer are the injured players in the AC Milan squad. Pioli is not likely to make much changes to the squad that faced Manchester United earlier this week at Old Trafford in the Europa League for the next game against Napoli. Zlatan remains the highest goal scorer for AC Milan this season in the Serie A with 14 goals. Kesie is not too far behind with nine goals to his name. Calhanoglu and Leao have been quite splendid in the midfield as well combining to produce a total of 13 assists this season.

Napoli Form & Team News

Napoli are the sixth-placed team in the Serie A points table this season. They have played 25 games and have won 15 games in the process. They have secured a total point tally of 47 with a goal difference of +26. They have lost eight games while drawing two matches so far. Playing Away, Napoli have won six games from the 12 played so far losing five games as well. Napoli are playing a good brand of football of late having won three games of the last four played while drawing the one other game. They are therefore on a four-match unbeaten streak going into the game against AC Milan on Monday. Their last match against Bologna saw the team in the Blue finish on the winning side with a scoreline of 3-1. 

Amir Rahmani, Faouzi Ghoulam, and Andrea Petagna are the three injured players in the Napoli squad. Gennaro Gattuso will have to take a call on the injured left-back Ghoulam while the others in the squad are most likely to keep their place in the squad. Lorenzo Insigne has been leading the goal scoring charts for Napoli this season in Serie A with 13 goals. Lozano is the second-highest goalscorer with nine goals so far in this season. Dries Mertens has provided six assists this season while the likes of Zielinski and Insigne have also chipped in with a total of nine assists so far.

Odds by Casumo

AC Milan are the favorites to win this game according to the Casumo sportsbook. They are placed at 2.63 and Napoli at 2.80. The odds for a draw is 3.15.

Check out our Serie A Odds Here 

 

Our Tipster’s Angle

Both teams are almost evenly matched on paper but the fact that Zlatan misses out is a major blow for AC Milan and even though they are unbeaten in the last five matches, they had won only two of those games in which only Roma happened to be tough opposition. So Napoli have a chance here to cause an upset at San Siro and they are most likely to come out triumphs against the Milan side on Monday.

Tip 1: Both Teams To Score

In the last three head to head matches between the two sides, all three matches have seen both teams scoring. In this tournament in the last five head to head matches, four matches have seen both teams scoring. Even while playing at Milan in the last head to head match between the two sides, it ended with a scoreline of 1-1. For Milan in the last five matches across competitions, four matches have had both teams score. In this tournament, Milan have had two matches in the last three where both teams have scored. Napoli on the other hand have had four games in the last five where both teams have scored across competitions. Playing away, they have a similar record which states four of the last five matches had both teams scoring. In this tournament, three of the last four matches have seen both teams scoring. So its most likely that Both teams will score. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for both teams to score is 1.58.

Tip 2: Total Goals Over 2.5

At home in the last five matches, three matches have seen the total goals to be over 2.5 when AC Milan has been involved. At home in this tournament, AC Milan have had three games in the last four where the total goals have been more than 2.5. Napoli in the last five matches across competitions have had four matches where the total goals have been more than 2.5. Playing away, they have a similar record too, having had four games from the last five where the total goals have been more than 2.5. Playing away in this tournament, all of Napoli’s last five matches have been games where the total goals have been more than 2.5. The last head to head matches between AC Milan and Napoli have also seen the Total goals to be over 2.5. So in short, we can say that the match will most likely have the total goals to be over 2.5. The odds for the total goals to be over 2.5 is 1.83 according to the Casumo Sportsbook.

Conclusion

Both teams are on unbeaten streaks, one of which might break on Monday after this clash. Milan given a win will tighten the screws on Inter at the top of the table while for Napoli will propel them into a Europa League qualification scenario moving into the fifth position in the points table. Summarising on a couple of tips from above

  1. Both Teams To Score @ 1.58
  2. Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.83

Check out our Serie A Odds Here 

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