AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade Betting Tips

AC Milan will host Red Star Belgrade for the second leg of the round of 32 of the UEFA Europa League at San Siro in Milan on 26th February 2021 at 01:30 IST. Milan will feel pretty safe after netting two away goals. While Red Star will come out all guns blazing as they still have a chance to make it to the next phase.

AC Milan Form & Team News

AC Milan are currently in the second position of the Serie A points table with 49 points from 23 matches. They have won 15 matches, drew four matches and lost four matches in the league so far. They finished at the top of group H with 13 points, two points ahead of Lille. They won four, drew one and lost just one match in the six group stage matches. They have scored 12 goals and have conceded just seven goals in the six group stage matches. They are coming into this fixture on the back of a 0-3 loss against Inter.

Brahim Diaz is likely to return from injury as he was a part of the bench but did not get to play. He is more likely to start against Red Star. But Ismael Bennacer and Mario Mandzukic could miss out due to injuries. Even Zlatan Ibrahimovic might sit out the next match and might prepare for the weekend clash against AS Roma. Jens Petter Hauge might start ahead of Mario Mandzukic as he is the team’s leading scorer in the Europa League with three goals along with Brahim Diaz. Diogo Dalot, Theo Hernandez and Ante Rebic are leading the assists charts with two assists each.

Red Star Belgrade Form & Team News

Red Star are at the top of the Superliga points table with 62 points from 22 matches and are six points clear of the second placed Partizan. They have 20 wins and two draws in the 22 Superliga matches that they have played this season. They have scored 57 goals and have conceded just nine goals so far in the league. They finished in the second position of group L with 11 points from six matches including three wins, two draws and just one loss to Hoffenheim. They are coming into this fixture with a 2-1 win over Spartak under their belt.

Milan Rodic will miss out for Red Star as he was red carded in the first leg of the round of 32 match. Slavoljub Srnic might replace him at the left wing position. In the Europa League, Aleksandar Katai Guelor Kanga and El Fardou Ben are leading the goal scoring list with two goals each. And also, El Fardou Ben is the leading assist provider with three assists under his belt.

Odds by Casumo

According to the Casumo sportsbook, AC Milan are the favorites to win the match and are placed at 1.38 odds. While Red Star are placed at 7.50 and the draw at 4.90 odds.

Check out our Europa League Odds Here

 

Our Tipster’s Angle

Similar to the first leg, this might be a high scoring match with goals expected from both ends. By considering the home record and the experience in playing big tournaments, Ac Milan have an edge in this match.

Tip 1: Both Teams To Score

Both teams are in some top-notch form in their respective leagues, with Milan at number two and Red Star at the top. These two teams have played three head to head matches before and both the teams scored in two of those three matches. Also, both the teams scored in three of the last six matches that Milan has played in all competitions. Even Red Star on the other hand has both teams scoring in three of their last five matches in all competitions. Apart from that, both teams scored in two of the last three away matches that Red Star played in all competitions. By considering these facts, it is more likely that both the teams will manage to find the back of the net at 1.88 odds available at the Casumo sportsbook.

Tip 2: Total Goals Over 2.5

In the group stages, Milan have scored 12 goals and have conceded seven goals at an average of over three goals per match. Red Star on the other hand have scored nine goals and have conceded four at an average of over two goals per match. In the last three head to head matches, over 2.5 goals were scored in two matches. Also, over 2.5 goals were scored in four of the last five matches that Milan has played in all competitions. Even Red Star also has a similar record as three of their last five matches had over 2.5 goals. Apart from that, ver 2.5 goals were scored in all the three home matches that Milan has played in the Europa League. So, it is expected to be a goal fest and over 2.5 goals will be scored at 1.65 odds available at the Casumo sportsbook.

Conclusion

With that being said, both the teams have a really good chance of making it to the next phase of the tournament as the first leg ended in a draw. But with Milan playing at home and having a two away goal advantage, they are more likely to make it to the round of 16. Summarizing a couple of bets mentioned above.

1. Both Teams To Score @ 1.88
2. Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.65

Check out our Europa League Odds Here