Atalanta vs Real Madrid betting tips

Atalanta vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

Atalanta are hosting Real Madrid at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo on 25th February 2021 at 01:30 IST. Real Madrid would be wanting to end their European cup drought having won their last champions league back in 2018 completing a historic successive Champions League treble becoming the first-ever team to do so. Atalanta on the other hand would fancy their chances of reaching a second successive round of 8 competition and try to go all the way this time around. 

Atalanta Form & Team News

Atalanta qualified as the second placed team from Group D which had Liverpool, Ajax and Midtjylland. Atalanta played six games out of which they won three games, lost two and drew one. In the process, they got 11 points two points less than leaders Liverpool. They scored ten goals and conceded eight goals in the group stage as well. In Serie A they have been a consistent outfit raking up 43 points from 23 games winning 12 games in the process. They have been winning streaks quite often now, the latest of one being the current three match winning streak across all competitions. They are on the back of a brilliant win against Napoli at home beating them 4-2 in Serie A.

Hans Hateboer is expected to miss out on the next game having got injured. Gasperini would want to keep things simple and don’t change much to the squad that played against Napoli in Serie A late last weekend. Luis Muriel and Duvan Zapata are in outstanding form having scored 30 goals in total across all competitions which include two goals by Muriel and three by Zapata in this year’s CL only. Josip Ilicic is providing assists for fun and joining him is Zapata who is also one of the leading playmakers in the squad. They will probably have a major say if Atalanta goes on to win the first leg Round of 16 match against Real Madrid.

Real Madrid Form & Team News

Real Madrid qualified as the group leaders with ten points in six games winning three games and losing two matches both against Shakhtar Donetsk. They scored 11 goals and conceded nine in the group stages. In La Liga, Real Madrid is breathing down the neck of leaders Atletico Madrid with 52 points from 24 games winning after having won 16 games. They are on a brilliant winning spree having won four games on the trot in La Liga. In the Champions League, they have not managed to cross the Round of 16 in the last two seasons. They would desperately want to end the same this time around and go on to add to the 13 Champions League titles that they have won so far.  

The injury list of Real Madrid is so big that they can make a team out of just the injured players. This includes Marcelo, Sergio Ramos, Karim Benzema, Daniel Carvajal, Eden Hazard, Eder Militao, Alvaro Odriozola, Federico Valverde and Rodrygo. Zidane would be worried about the team because of the injury concerns to so many players. Benzema is the leading goal scorer for Real Madrid across all competitions but he is not slated to play against Atalanta next up. Casemiro is expected to lead the charge with help from  Asensio and Kroos-Modric to provide support from the midfield.

Odds by Casumo

Atalanta are favorites to win this game according to the Casumo sportsbook. They are placed at 2.32 and Real Madrid at 2.95. The odds for a draw is 3.70.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here


Our Tipster’s Angle

Real Madrid stands a good chance of winning this game considering their present form across competitions. This is expected to be a high scoring match with goals from both ends. With many of the key players expected to miss out from the Real Madrid squad, It is likely to be an edgy game still favoring Real Madrid just because of the sheer quality they possess in the middle of the park. 

Tip 1: Real Madrid To Win or Draw

In the last four matches, Real Madrid have won all four games across all competitions. In this tournament Real Madrid have won three out of the last four matches played keeping three clean sheets and scoring at least two goals in each match. Their away record is equally good. In the last three away games, they have won all three games after having scored 7 goals in total. Considering this present form Real Madrid are expected to walk away with at least a draw or a win. Atalanta have been shaky at home being predominantly inconsistent winning some and drawing mostly. In the last ten matches they have had four draws and only five wins. In this tournament at home, Atalanta have won no games while drawing two and losing one after playing three games. Thus we can expect this match to go down Real Madrid’s way either they winning it or drawing it at least. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for a Real Madrid win or draw is at 1.64.

Tip 2: Total Goals Over 2.5

In the last eight matches, Atalanta have been part of six matches where the total goal count is more than 2.5. At home, all of Atalanta’s last five matches have resulted in a total of 2.5 goals or more. In this tournament at home, Atalanta have had two games out of three where the total goals have been more than 2.5. In the case of Real Madrid, in their last eight matches, they have had five matches where the goal count is more than 2.5. While playing away in the last four matches, three matches have had more than 2.5 goals in total when Real Madrid played. Considering the above it is expected that the match will have a total of more than 2.5 goals. The odds for the total goals to be over 2.5 is 1.62 available at the Casumo Sportsbook.


It is expected to be an edgy affair. Atalanta playing at home holds the aces but Real Madrid’s present form is so dominating that they are finally looking at their old self. Barring lesser injuries, Real Madrid could go onto win their 14th title. Summarising on a couple of bets mentioned above.

  1. Real Madrid To Win or Draw @ 1.64
  2. Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.62

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

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