Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid betting tips

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

Athletic Bilbao are hosting Real Madrid at the San Mames in Bilbao on the 16th of May 2021 Sunday at 22:00 IST. Real Madrid will have their task cut out, their primary goal will now be to win the rest of the matches and hope Atletico Madrid drops points while Bilbao given a win and Atletico Madrid a win in their respective game would mean they are champions of this year’s La Liga Santander

Athletic Bilbao Form & Team News

Athletic Bilbao are the seventh-placed team in Serie A this season with 46 points from 36 games. They have won 11 games while losing as many as 12 games this season. They have also drawn 13 games. They lost their last game against Huesca by a slender margin of one goal to nil while playing away before which they were unbeaten for five games straight which includes two wins and three draws. Their home record is decent to some of the other teams with eight wins coming from 18 games played so far. They are basically out of any qualifications according to their position in the points table, this also includes the Conference cup. This would mean Bilbao can come out with a free attitude and win the rest of the games which would be a major confidence booster for next season.

Alvarez and Berchiche are out for a few weeks with a muscle injury while Muniain has a hamstring injury. Capa and Nolaskoin are out with knee injury and Ankle injury respectively while Zarraga has sustained a meniscus injury. The last player to complete the long injury list of Athletic Bilbao is Lekue who has COVID is expected to keep him out for at least the next few matches. Berenguer has scored the most goals for the team this season with as many as eight goals alone. Williams leads the assists chart for Atletic Bilbao this season.

Real Madrid Form & Team News

Real Madrid are placed second in the La Liga this season. They have played 36 games out of which 23 have ended with Real Madrid winning. They have lost four games and drawn nine games in the process. They have secured 78 points so far just two points from leaders Atletico Madrid who sit at the top with 80 points. Real Madrid are back to their best being on the losing side in only one of the last 10 matches which also includes four matches winning and five drawing. Real Madrid with the experience and the youth have all the resources covered to go all the way from here on with nothing less than the La Liga title win to top it off. They are also on the back of a commanding win over Granada before which they had to be content with a draining draw against Sevilla.

Mendy, Vazquez, Raphael Varane, Danny Carvajal and captain Sergio Ramos are set to miss the Classico with injuries. Zidane would be ruing the fact that all five players missing out are their core players and filling their voids is going to be a tedious task for the Frenchman. Karim Benzema is the top goal scorer for Real Madrid this season with as many 22 strikes inside the goal this season so far. Toni Kroos has been sensational in the midfield as well contributing ten assists this season. The void left by the talismanic Ramos has been filled somewhat by young guns Eder Militao and Nacho.  

Odds by Casumo

Real Madrid are favorites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 1.60 odds while Athletic Bilbao is placed at 5.20. The odds for a draw is 4.35.

Check out our La Liga Odds Here


Our Tipster’s Angle 

Real Madrid have had a lot of slip-ups off late cannot afford to repeat any of those in the remaining matches. Barcelona are literally out of the title race and only a miracle will help them while Real Madrid and Athletico Madrid are the only real contenders. Real Madrid are favorites to win here while Bilbao will need to produce a magical performance to have any chance against Zidane’s men.

Tip 1: Total Goals over 2.5

Three of the last five matches that Athletic Bilbao have played across competitions have had the total goals to be over 2.5. While playing at home, Athletic Bilbao have had all four of their last four matches where the total goals have been over 2.5. In La Liga at home, Athletic Bilbao have had three of the last three matches where the condition was satisfied. In the case of Real Madrid, both of the last two matches played across competitions, have had the total goals to be over 2.5. Playing away in La Liga, two of their last three matches also had the total goals to be over 2.5. Out of their last two head to head matches in La Liga, both matches had the total goals to be over 2.5. So it’s quite likely the match will have over 2.5 goals. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for the total goals to be over 2.5 is 1.79.

Tip 2: Both teams to score

In the last five matches played by Athletic Bilbao across competitions, three of those have had both teams scoring. While playing at home, all three of the last three matches Athletic Bilbao have played across competitions have had both teams scoring. In La Liga, Athletic Bilbao had three of the last five matches where both teams have scored. Both of the last two matches Real Madrid have been part of have had the above condition being satisfied. Playing away in Serie A, this season, the last match Real Madrid was part of has turned out to have both teams scoring. Two of the last two head to head matches between the two sides also had yielded the condition as mentioned above, so it’s most likely both teams might end up scoring. The odds for Both Teams to score according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 1.85.


Real Madrid can still have the faintest of hope of retaining their title with just a two point gap separating them with leaders Atletico Madrid. Bilbao on the other hand have nothing to lose here and they can spoil the party for their opposition on Sunday. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1. Total Goals over 2.5 @1.79
  2. Both teams to score @ 1.85

Check out our La Liga Odds Here

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