Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid betting tips

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

Atletico Madrid are hosting Real Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid on the 7th March 2021 Sunday at 20:45 IST. The top of the table clash which could well determine the course of the La Liga title this season, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid along with Barcelona are involved in a three-way battle for the title. 

Atletico Madrid Form & Team News

Atletico Madrid are the first-placed team in the La Liga points table this season. They have played 24 games securing a total of 58 points. They have won 18 matches, losing two and drew four matches in the process. At home, Atletico Madrid have played 12 games winning nine and losing just a single game. They are on the back of a comprehensive 2-0 win over Villarreal away from home. At home, they have lost their last two games which also include the round of 16 first-leg loss against Chelsea. Atletico Madrid have played a game less than Real Madrid and Barcelona which gives them an edge. They just need to keep the winning momentum going into the flag end of the season is not a big task considering their record.

Jose Gimenez is the only injured player in the Atletico Madrid squad. Simeone might field the same eleven which won against Villarreal on Monday. Former Liverpool and FC Barcelona forward Luiz Suarez who changed colours to Atletico Madrid has been in sensational form netting as many as 16 goals this season. He is the top goal scorer for Atletico Madrid after 24 matches this season. Marcos Llorente has also stepped up his game bug time this season scoring eight goals and assisting on seven occasions making him the first name on the chart for highest assists provided this season. Given Atletico Madrid’s proven defence when combined with the lethal Suarez and Llorente, Simeone’s side has all ingredients of a champion side. 

Real Madrid Form & Team News

The third-placed team in the La Liga points table with 16 wins from 25 games, Real Madrid have been quite outstanding this season considering they had a very bad start. They presently have 53 points which are five points behind leaders Atletico Madrid. They have lost just four games and also drew five games. Real Madrid have been a great touring side this season having won eight out of the 13 games they played losing just one away game. They are on a six-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. Their last game against Real Sociedad was a dull stalemate finishing 1-1 at home. The remarkable turnaround shown by Real Madrid this season is adding weight to the fact of why they are one of the best club football team ever.

Mariano Diaz and Daniel Carvajal are the two players on the Real Madrid squad who are injured and might miss the next game. Zidane might be tempted to make some changes to the defence considering their core defensive unit is back from the injury cloud they were in keeping all options for attack open. Karim Benzema tops the goal-scoring charts with 12 goals to his name while Toni Kroos tops the assists chart with six goal scoring opportunities provided. The injury list of Real Madrid which made up a lot of names in the previous games is becoming thinner which means the core team is all set to get the ball rolling.  

Odds by Casumo

Atletico Madrid are favourites to win this game according to the Casumo sportsbook. They are placed at 2.65 and Real Madrid at 2.75. The odds for a draw is 3.25. 

Check out our La Liga Odds Here


Our Tipster’s Angle

It is expected to be a very edgy game. Both teams might sit back and wait for an error from the opponent to counter-attack. Atletico Madrid given their home record holds the aces but this Real Madrid outfit has been playing some outstanding football over some time now and given their never-ending injury woes are solved, for the time being, Real Madrid might be a tough nut to crack for Atletico Madrid this time around.  

Tip 1: Total Goals Under 2.5

In the last four matches Atletico Madrid have played across competitions, all four have turned out to be games where the total goals have been under 2.5. In this tournament, all their last three matches have seen the total goals to be under 2.5. At home, two out of the last two Atletico Madrid matches had the total goals to be under 2.5. In the case of Real Madrid, in the last five matches across all competitions, all five have had the total goals to be under 2.5. In this tournament, they have had four games from their last five where the total goal count was under 2.5. Their last two matches have also had the total goals under 2.5. In the last four head to head matches between the two sides, all four have seen under 2.5 goals. So from the above stats, we can safely say this match will have the total goals to be under 2.5. The odds for the total goals to be under 2.5 is 1.58 according to the Casumo Sportsbook. 

Tip 2: Total Cards Under 5.5

Atletico Madrid have had an average of 2.63 cards per match this season while Real Madrid have an average of 1.60 cards a match. At home, Atletico Madrid have got an average of 2.17 cards while Real Madrid playing away have gotten an average of 1.85 cards a match which makes a combined total of fewer than 5.5 cards a match in total for both teams. In the last five matches of Atletico Madrid across competitions, the card count has not crossed a total of 5.5 in any match and for Real Madrid in the last five matches, only one match turned out to reach a total of more than 5.5 cards. In the last two head to head matches between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, both have had the total card count to be under 5.5. Thus the total cards in this match is more likely to end up under 5.5. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for the Total cards to be under 5.5 is 1.70.


Atletico Madrid holds the aces in terms of home record this season and lesser number of injuries to key players but Real Madrid have carried the baggage of injuries to key players and still managed to be in the reckoning for the championship which shows the character shown by the Zidane side. A captivating game on the weekend awaits us for a potential title winner not forgetting Koeman’s Barcelona. Summarising on a couple of tips from above.

  1. Total Goals Under 2.5 @ 1.58
  2. Total Cards Under 5.5 @ 1.70


Check out our La Liga Odds Here

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