Chelsea vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

Chelsea takes on the current LaLiga table-toppers Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League for the second leg of the round of 16. The match is scheduled for 18 March 2021 at 01:30 IST and will be played at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea won the first leg 1-0 and have a crucial away goal advantage going into this contest. 

Chelsea Form & Team News

Chelsea is currently placed fourth in the premier league table with 51 points. After 29 matches, they have managed to win 14 matches, draw nine, and have lost only six matches so far. In their last premier league match, Chelsea played a goalless draw against Leeds. After the arrival of Thomas Tuchel, Chelsea have played well and are unbeaten. They have scored as many as 15 goals in the Champions League and have conceded just two goals. Also, Chelsea are unbeaten in the Champions League so far.

Owing to a busy schedule, Tuchel has constantly rotated his players. But Thiago Silva and Tammy Abraham would miss out due to injuries. Jorginho and Mason Mount have been in great touch lately and would play a vital role in this match. Olivier Giroud scored the all-important goal in the first leg and is expected to start in the absence of Abraham. Edouard Mendy is expected to start as the goalkeeper with Christensen, Azpilicueta, and Rudiger forming the backline. Chelsea goes into this match with lots of confidence having kept three consecutive clean sheets against the Spanish teams for the first time in their European competition history. 

Atletico Madrid Form & Team News

With Real Madrid and FC Barcelona breathing down their necks, the current LaLiga table-toppers Atletico Madrid have lost their initial form. After 27 matches in the league, they have managed to win 19 matches, draw six, and have lost only two matches so far. In their last league match, Atletico Madrid played a goalless draw against a man down the Getafe team. They have scored seven goals and have conceded nine goals in the seven Champions League matches so far. 

Diego Simeone will have a full squad to choose from barring his defender Felipe Monteiro who is not available for this match. João Félix has been the top scorer in the Champions League for the Madrid-based side with three goals. But it has been Luis Suárez who has done the majority of the scoring in the LaLiga with 18 goals. Jan Oblak is expected to start as the goalkeeper with Tripper, Savic, and Felipe forming the backline. In the first leg, Atletico Madrid failed to land a single shot on target against Chelsea. Diego Simeone would want to see more attacking play in the second leg. 

Odds by Casumo

According to the Casumo sportsbook, Chelsea is the favorite to win the match. They are placed at 2.25 odds, while Atletico Madrid is placed at 3.35 and the draw is at 3.35.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

 

Our Tipster’s Angle

Chelsea has been a completely different side after the arrival of Tuchel. Though Atletico Madrid has performed exceptionally well this season, their current form has seen a dip. Also, Atletico has now lost three Champions League against Chelsea, which is their joint-highest against an opponent along with Bayern Munich. Chelsea is unbeaten in their last five premier league matches and has played well as a team. Considering the overall form this season and home advantage, Chelsea is most likely to win the match. 

Tip 1: Total Goals – Under 2.5

Both the teams have world-class defenders and goalkeepers in their ranks. Atletico has scored seven goals in their seven matches so far in the Champions League. They average one goal per match and have managed to take four shots on target per match. Chelsea has scored 15 goals in this season of Champions League at an average of 2.1 goals per match. Chelsea has defended well this season and has kept five clean sheets in the Champions League. With the likes of Tripper, Savic, Azpilicueta, and Rüdiger forming the backline, the total goals are expected to be under 2.5, and 1.60 odds are available for the same on the Casumo sportsbook.

Tip 2: Chelsea To Win

After winning the first leg 1-0, Chelsea will go into this fixture full of confidence. Chelsea holds a unique record of not getting eliminated from European competition in a two-leg tie after winning the away game in the first leg. Chelsea has a good home record this season in the premier league having won seven, drawn five, and losing just two. Atletico Madrid has conceded 9 goals in seven Champions League matches this season and has managed to keep a clean sheet in only two games. There have been a total of eight games played between these two opponents with Chelsea winning three, three matches drawn, and Atletico winning two. Considering all these factors, Chelsea is the favorite to win against Atletico Madrid and 2.25 odds are available for the same on the Casumo sportsbook.

Conclusion

A high voltage match is expected between two genius managers in the world of football. Though Chelsea has a crucial away goal, under Diego Simeone, Atletico Madrid has not lost at Stamford Bridge. Thus, we can expect a closely fought match between these two teams who look to move to the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League. Summarizing a couple of bets mentioned above

1. Total Goals – Under 2.5 @ 1.60
2. Chelsea To Win @ 2.25

Check out our Champions League Odds Here