Chelsea vs FC Porto Betting Tips

Chelsea are hosting FC Porto at the Romon Sanchez Pizjuan in Sevilla on the 14th of April 2021 at 12:30 AM IST. Chelsea goes into this fixture with an added advantage but Porto can bounce back and we could have a game on our hands. Chelsea are not playing at Chelsea but a different home venue which could be a blessing in disguise for Porto. 

 Chelsea Form and Team News

Chelsea qualified as the number one team from Group E with four wins in six games. They also beat Spanish Giants Atletico Madrid by an aggregate score of 3-0 in the pre-quarters. In the first leg of the quarter-finals they played against Porto, they had a comprehensive victory winning by 2-0 and gaining a crucial away goal advantage. In the Premier League, they are played fifth having won 15 of the total 31 played securing 54 points in total. Chelsea were on a 15 match unbeaten streak before they played against West Bromwich which they lost. They have won their last couple of games quite comfortably. Chelsea could well and truly hope for European glory this season if they can qualify to the next round.

Tuchel doesn’t have an injured player in the squad which in hindsight is a brilliant achievement considering all other teams are struggling with injuries or suspensions to key players. Chelsea have managed to keep injuries at bay for the time being at least. Since that there are no injuries, Tuchel can well and truly select his best team for the game against Porto on Wednesday. Olivier Giroud has been close to unstoppable this season for Chelsea in the Champions League netting as many as six goals so far. Timo Werner is finally showing his worth with good showings in the recent past which augurs well for the team. Kai Havertz is also an influential player on the field combined with the likes of Thiago Silva and Ben Chilwell in the Defence. 

Porto Form and Team News

Porto qualified as the second-placed team from Group C with 13 points from six games winning four games in the process. Porto caused a big upset in the pre-quarters when they beat Italian giants Juventus by virtue of the away goal advantage with an aggregate score of 4-4. In the first leg quarterfinal though against Chelsea they lost the home fixture by two goals to none thus having need to start from the word go in the return fixture to have a say from here on. In the Primeira Liga, they are placed at the second position with 60 points from 26 games played so far. They have been playing good football in the league but the Champions League is a different story altogether with only the best set to survive. Can they continue the upset trend? Only Porto knows. Given their talent, they surely can but it’s about the execution on the given day.

Porto played a 4-5-1 formation against Chelsea in the home fixture, they might opt in to play with a slightly more aggressive combination in the return fixture given they are two goals down and any let-ups might lead to their exit from the tournament. Conceicao will have to be extra cautious with the tactics this time around because even if Chelsea are not playing at their traditional home venue, they still are hot favorites to win the tie, Conceicao should work some magic up his sleeve in order to cause an upset. Sergio Oliviera is the top player for Porto having scored five goals so far into the tournament. The contributions from Marega, Diaz and Uribe will become vital if Porto are to go all the way.

Odds by Casumo

Chelsea are favorites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 1.84 odds while Porto is placed at 4.10. The odds for a draw is 3.90.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

 

Our Tipster’s Angle

Chelsea could win and qualify to the next round. This is based on the current form and the added away goal advantage that they have earned last week, This will give them the confidence to go into the match with confidence and consequently have a good game against Porto who have not won in the last two games. 

Tip 1: Chelsea to Win

In the nine matches that Chelsea have played against Porto, they have won a record six times while drawing one game. Porto have just won a couple of games in that. Chelsea have won five of the last six games played between both sides, At Chelsea though, they even have a winning streak of four matches played and four matches won against the side from Primeira Liga. Even while the two teams squared off against each other in Porto in the first leg, Chelsea had comfortably managed to win with a couple of goals. Chelsea are also unbeaten in this tournament in the last five matches while at home, even though they lost the last game, they have a terrific record otherwise. Porto on the other hand have lost both of the last two matches in the Champions League which makes him susceptible for lack of confidence going in the second leg fixture away. So with all the above records, Chelsea is expected to win this match. The odds for Chelsea to win is 1.84 according to the Casumo Sportsbook. 

Tip 2: Total Goals under 2.5

Goals have been mostly under 2.5 when these two teams have faced off. In the last five matches, they have played head to head, only one game saw more than 2.5 goals in total. At Chelsea, both of the last head to head meetings had less than 2.5 goals in total. Chelsea have played out eight of the last ten games where the total goals have been under 2.5. While playing at home, four of the last five games have seen under 2.5 goals in total. In this tournament, each of their last four matches have seen less than 2.5 goals in total. Porto on the other hand have had their last couple of games where the total goal count has been less than 2.5. They also have a 50 percent chance of the goals being under 2.5 in the last four games played away and also in this tournament. Thus we can safely conclude that the total goal count could be less than 2.5. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for the total goals to be under 2.5 is 1.83.

Conclusion

Chelsea have their tails up going into this fixture. They have an added advantage of a couple of goals. Porto might find it hard to contain the rampaging blues. Chelsea looks all set for the semifinal birth unless Porto produces a comeback for the ages. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

1. Chelsea To Win @1.84
2. Total Goals Under 2.5 @ 1.83

Check out our Champions League Odds Here