Barcelona vs Sevilla betting tips

FC Barcelona vs Sevilla Betting Tips

Barcelona are hosting Sevilla at Camp Nou, Barcelona on 4th March 2021 at 1:30 AM IST. Both teams are facing off for the third time within a month’s time. This time for a place in the Copa del Rey final. Sevilla are leading 2-0 on aggregate but Barcelona will hope to continue their good form in recent weeks.  

FC Barcelona Form & Team News

In La Liga, Barcelona are placed in the second position with 53 points from 25 games. They have won 16, lost four and drawn five games in the process. They have scored the highest number of goals in La Liga this season, netting in as many as 55 goals from 25 games. Barcelona are in the process of a massive rebuild following their horrid European sojourn over the last few years. They started quite badly this season but are slowly finding their footing. In the last 12 games across all competitions, they have won nine games while losing two and drawing one game. Their last match against Sevilla resulted in a win for the Catalan Giants which will give them a lot of confidence going into the second leg of the Copa del Rey semifinal against Sevilla again.

Barcelona are likely to miss quite a few star players going into Thursday’s clash. The injury list includes Pedri, Ronald Araujo, Ansu Fati, Philippe Coutinho, Sergi Roberto and Miralem Pjanic. Given that Pedri started the last game against Sevilla and he is on the injured list now, Puig might finally get a start. The mercurial Lionel Messi is the highest scorer for Barcelona with 24 goals in the season across competitions. Antonie Griezmann heads the assists chart. Given Barcelona defence have a decent game and Griezmann getting a start combining with Messi doing his usual stuff then Sevilla will need some extra players to stop the deadly attack from Barcelona. 

Sevilla Form & Team News

Sevilla are placed second on the La Liga points table with 15 wins to their name from 24 games this season. They have also lost six games while drawing three games. They have conceded the second least no of goals in la Liga this season. They were on a winning spree just before the Barcelona match last weekend having won six straight games before losing to Barca 0-2 at home on Saturday. In the champions league, they are trailing Borussia Dortmund by a goal after the first leg round of 16 match at home. They will be high on confidence because they go into the second leg Copa del Rey semifinal against Barcelona with a 2-0 aggregate lead over the Catalans.

Lucas Ocampos and Marcos Acuna are two players on the injury list for Sevilla. They might as well miss the next game against FC Barcelona. Lopetegui is not expected to make much of a change to the squad that played Barcelona on Saturday. Youssef En-Nesyri is the top goal scorer for Sevilla in La Liga with 13 goals to his name, while in Copa del Rey, Luke de Jong has scored three goals making him the highest goal scorer. Joan Jordan and Jesus Navas have been in terrific form this season as well as providing vital assists for the likes of Nesyri and Ocampos.

Odds by Casumo

FC Barcelona are favourites to win this game according to the Casumo sportsbook. They are placed at 1.55 and Sevilla at 5.50. The odds for a draw is 4.25.

Check out our Copa del Rey Odds Here


Our Tipster’s Angle

Sevilla is expected to play a rough game just like on Saturday when the two sides last met. Barcelona likely to end up on the winning side. The match might extend to extra time maybe even penalties with Barcelona holding the aces given it’s their home game and the young players of Barca are finally showing up some consistency.   

Tip 1: FC Barcelona to Win 

The last ten head to head matches between FC Barcelona and Sevilla at Camp Nou have resulted in Barca winning on nine occasions and drawing one game which ultimately means they are unbeaten at home against Sevilla in the last ten games. In this tournament again, Barca have the advantage going into the match with three wins in the last five head to head matches. At home across competitions barring the PSG game where Barca lost 1-4, they have won three while drawing against Cadiz. Sevilla in contrast are on the back of two losses in their last 3 encounters. Their away record states five wins in the last five games but none of the five teams that Sevilla beat come within the top 12 teams in the La Liga. Thus Barcelona are most likely to come out victorious in this game at 1.55 odds available at the Casumo sportsbook.

Tip 2: Total Goals Over 2.5

In the last ten matches that Barcelona played across competitions, seven have resulted in the total goals to be over 2.5. At home Barca in the last five matches, four matches have had goals over 2.5. Considering head to head at Barcelona in this tournament, their last two matches have had more than 2.5 goals in total. In the last 15 head to head matches, ten matches have scores where total goals have been more than 2.5. And with Barcelona trailing at an aggregate score of 0-2 to Sevilla and they are playing at home, there is every chance that Barca could start all guns blazing considering from a similar position in 2019 where they went on to score six goals in the second leg thus winning the then Copa del Rey quarter-final 6-3 on aggregate against the same opposition. So it is more likely that over 2.5 goals will be scored at 1.60 odds available at the Casumo sportsbook.


History is on their side but Barcelona is not the same as it used to be, So Sevilla will sniff a chance here to stage a win and an entry into the Copa del Rey final. But the Messi factor will in turn decide the fate of the game and whether Barca can end their barren run with the Copa del Rey title to their name. Summarising on a couple of tips from above.

  1. Barcelona To Win @ 1.55
  2. Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.60

Check out our Copa del Rey Odds Here

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