Italy vs Austria – Euro 2020 Betting Tips

Italy and Austria are playing each other in the second match of the round of 16. The venue of this match is the Wembley Stadium, London in England and the game is scheduled for 27th of June 2021 at 00:30 IST. Italy are in rampaging form while Austria had to dig deep to qualify, making this a compelling watch.

Italy Form and Team News

Italy in the third group game against the formidable Wales were still able to keep a record intact and in turn, win the game. They kept a clean slate while also scoring one goal to keep their unbeaten streak alive. Italy continued their domination in the second game with a 3-0 showing against the Swiss as well increasing their winning run furthermore. They qualified into the round of 16. A 3-0 win on the opening night against the much-fancied Turkey has put to rest any doubt about the form Italy have been carrying for some time now. Italy are a serious contenders for the championship and unless for any major hiccup they should be able to pull it off as well. They are now facing the never say die Austria in the round of 16 and this match is sure to test the Italians for sure considering how the Austrians cannot be taken lightly.

Coach Roberto Mancini has been quite magnificent with his tactics and strategies in the recent games of Italy and would hope to keep the same momentum next set of games as well. In the last game, Locatelli and Ciro Immobile are the top scorers for the Italians in the competitions so far with two goals each. Insigne and Pessina too has been able to find the back of the net on one occasion. Some of the above players were given a much-needed rest in the last game and they will be coming back fresh which should give Mancini’s side the edge going into the round of 16 game against Austria. 

Austria Form and Team News

Austria showed a good amount of grit in the third game against the Ukrainians and went on to win the game by a goal to nil. They showed the character that was lacking in the second game. Austria after the clinical win over North Macedonia in the first game produced an untoward performance in the second game against the Dutch and ended by losing it by the same GD margin they defeated North Macedonia in the first game. Austria managed to reap full rewards of being attacked in the first game against North Macedonia at home, netting in as many as three goals and winning the tie comfortably. While they would’ve liked to have a clean slate to their name without having had to concede anything, but Austria found a way to sneak a goal past them denting their GD a bit. Austria finished as the second-best team from the group and are facing the Italians in the round of 16 on Sunday.

No player is reported injured or suspended. Hence, all will be available for selection. Franco Foda is known for his defensive tactics. The former Bayer Leverkusen player loves to play it safe and defend first. While his playing approach may not sound exciting, the Austrians have benefited from it. Austria has won 21 of the 34 matches it has played under his guidance. In addition, 21 of their 26 players competed in the German Bundesliga last season. The Austrians are often considered to be the Euro’s dark horse. David Alaba, Marko Arnautović, Aleksandar Dragović, and Martin Hinteregger are expected to start. 

Odds by Casumo

Italy are favorites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 1.48 odds while Austria is placed at 8.00. The odds for a draw is 4.20.

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Our Tipster’s Angle

Italy are displaying the rampant form and are steamrolling every opposition on the way, Austria on the other hand are starting to fire as well. This game could as well give us a glimpse of how Italy handles the pressure in a knockout game with having to keep their unbeaten streak alive as well. Italy looks like favorites to continue on winning and keeping the streak going while Austria would hope to show their best and try toppling the former World Champs. 

Tip 1: Italy Total Goals over 1.5

Italy are scoring goals for fun in the last few matches and are being able to find the back of the net quite frequently, this comes down to the chances they are creating, the midfield is creating chances after chances for the attack to capitalize on and while this is happening, the opposition defense could well tumble after the series of attacks and in turn, concede at some point of the match. Italy have always been known for their watertight defense but this side is something that very few expected. They have scored over 1.5 goals in nine of their last ten games while also at home they have an 80% probability of scoring because of the fact that they were able to do so in four of the last five home games to put weight on that fact. So it’s quite likely that Italy’s total goals would be over 1.5 in the game against Austria on Sunday. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for Italy to score Total goals over 1.5 is 1.71. 

Tip 2: Both teams not to score

As said above in terms of Italy’s goal-scoring attributes, one more mind-blowing fact is that Italy hasn’t conceded any goals in all their last ten games. So, they have been part of both teams not scoring scenarios in all these games. At home too, in the last five games, they still haven’t conceded a single goal in any of those five games. Playing head to head against the Austrians, they have had two of the four meetings where the above condition was met. This also implies that the two head to head meetings they had in Italy where again both teams failed to get on the scoresheet. So it’s most likely that both teams won’t’ be able to make it to the scoresheet on Sunday. The odds for Both Teams not scoring according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 1.57.


Italy are well and truly looking really hard to break down for the opposition teams in terms of how they are winning while also not conceding any goals in the last ten games straight. Austria would hope to upset the Italians which could be the first real upset of the tournament and then continue to work on that momentum. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1. Italy Total Goals over 1.5 @1.71
  2. Both teams not to score @ 1.57

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