Italy vs England – Euro 2020 Betting Tips

We are finally here, the final of the EURO 2020 between Italy and England on the 12th of July 2021 at 00:30 IST at the Wembley Stadium in London, England. How about that for a fairytale ending if you are an English supporter? Italy surely won’t be weighed down, they are in the middle of a spectacular redemption story after the 2018 WC snub.        

Italy Form and Team News

Italy for the first time in their 32 match unbeaten streak was pushed to the corner by a spirited Spanish side and looked like they were in for an exit, but cometh the penalty, they held their nerve and eventually triumphed the Spain side to set up the final date with England at their home on Sunday. Italy was stretched by Belgium in the quarterfinal but had enough arsenal to keep the lead until the final whistle. The two early goals surely would’ve dented Belgium’s plan who were already injury-hit coming to the game. Nonetheless, Italy are still unbeaten and that record is kept intact. One of Italy’s records was broken in the round of 16 game, they had never conceded in nine games before that and Austria just managed to break that jinx, Italy won the game nonetheless. They also won all the three group stage matches without really breaking a sweat against Switzerland, Turkey and Wales respectively. 

Coach Roberto Mancini has been quite magnificent with his tactics and strategies in the recent games of Italy and would hope to keep the same momentum next set of games as well. In the last game, Locatelli and Ciro Immobile are the top scorers for the Italians in the competitions so far with two goals each. Juventus superstar Chiesa scored the opener against Spain in the last game while PSG regular Verratti could’ve done better in the last game. Chilleni and Bonucci have been quite spectacular in central defence which augurs well for the team as well. 

England Form and Team News

Is it this time? England. Are they bringing it home finally? They beat the Danes in added extra time through a winner by the captain himself in the semifinal. Denmark put up a brilliant fight even while being on the opposite side of all odds.  England steamrolled Ukraine en route to their comprehensive victory by not one or two but four goals to nil in a very much one-sided competition. England also beat Germany last week for a historic win. They still got to keep the intensity up and try to win the competition eventually. England displayed their scratchy form in the third game of the group game as well just managing to win against the Czech Republic by a goal to nil. England had been lacklustre in the group stage playing too defensively in the process, they had to procure a dull draw against Scotland in the second game. England in the first game against Croatia was pretty dominant from start to end and ended up winning it by a solitary goal. England have not won any big tournaments in the recent past and this could be their best chance to rewrite that record. 

Coach Gareth Southgate has had a stellar start to his coaching career over the years with the national team and is looking all set to translate that into winning more trophies which considering the team he has at his disposal is not a tough thing to do. The defence did what was asked of them in the last game with everyone contributing to the best of their ability to not let the opposition score. Captain Kane netted the winner while Man City superstar Rahim Sterling had a Sterling game contributing with a goal and also setting up the controversial penalty in added extra time. This team is championship material and they can only underline that statement by winning championships.

Odds by Casumo

England are the favourites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 2.63 odds while Italy is placed at 3.00. The odds for a draw is 3.05.

Check out our Euro2020 Odds Here

Our Tipster’s Angle

We are in the final. The odds favour England. The head to head stat is something that the English won’t bother to take a look at at this juncture, Italy have won there mostly. Italy given the all-round abilities and prowess probably are inches ahead of England in this game. The Crowd will have a major say in this match, and you know what to expect from the English fans, Italy will have to fight that as well. We are in for a rollercoaster ride of emotions and some high octane football at Wembley, Expect nothing less than that. 

Tip 1: Total Goals over 1.5

Italy have been part of some high-scoring matches off-late. They have had nine games in the last ten matches where the total goal count was over 1.5. Playing as the host across competitions like in this case, but practically speaking they are not, Italy have had four of their last five games have also seen over 1.5 goals in total. England on the other hand have also been involved in similar matches off-late. All three of the last three matches England have played have had the above satisfied. While playing as the away side like in this case, three of their last four matches also had the total goals to be over 1.5. England could really come out all guns blazing on Sunday and Italy if stretched could bring in another dimension of their game as well, So it’s quite likely this match could well have over 1.5 goals in total. The odds for total goals to be over 1.5 according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 1.50. 

Tip 2: Both teams to score

All three of the last three matches played by Italy across competitions have had both teams score. While playing as the host, their last two matches too had the condition of being satisfied. The last match that England was part of had the above condition being satisfied. All four of the last four head to head matches between these two footballing giants have also had the above condition satisfied. While playing with the Italians as the host, Two of their last three head to head match has also had both teams scoring. The Italians have in the last three games managed to concede goals while England have been defensively tight so far and only a good attacking side will be able to break them down, the defence might as crumble on the big stage, you never know, so it’s most likely both teams might end up scoring. The odds for Both Teams to score according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 2.10.


For both teams, this match is much more than just the result, two templates can be used to define them both – ‘near yet so far’ for England while ‘heartbreaks in queue’ for Italy after the 2006 WC. Life for both teams and their supporters will come a full circle after this game, Get ready to witness the spectacle at Wembley. Is the cup coming Home or Rome? Find out!! Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1. Total goals over 1.5 @ 1.50
  2. Both teams to score @ 2.10

Check out our Euro2020 Odds Here

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