Lazio vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips

Lazio are hosting Bayern Munich at Stadio Olimpico in Rome on 24th February 2021 at 01:30 IST. The cup holders are playing their first knockout game of this year’s Champions league playing against underdogs Lazio. Bayern would fancy a successive cup triumph going forward and this would be the beginning of a tough knockout phase awaiting them. 

Lazio Form & Team News

Lazio qualified as the second placed team from Group F. They were unbeaten in the group stage after having played 6 matches. They had won two games while drawing the rest four matches. They had ten points at the end of the group stage. In the process, they beat eventual group leaders Borussia Dortmund beating them 3-1 at home and drew 1-1 away which will give them a lot of confidence going forward. Lazio has been consistent in Serie A too, occupying the fourth position in the points table. At home, they have been unbeaten in the last five matches winning all five games.

Stefan Daniel Radu, Luiz Felipe, Thomas Strakosha and Silvio Proto are the players who might miss the next game. Simone is less likely to tinker with the team composition having won their last outing against Sampdoria at home in Serie A. Ciro Immobile and Joaquin Correa are in red hot form having a combined total of ten goal contributions with Immobile scoring five goals and Correa scoring two and assisting for 2 goals as well. If they continue to find their footing it will be quite hard for the opposition to stop them and they might as well be the difference on their day.

Bayern Munich Form & Team News

The Champions Bayern Munich having already become the only side after Barcelona to win six trophies in a single season are playing their best football ever. They qualified from Group A as the number one team with 16 points having won five games and drawing the remaining one game. They even plundered 18 goals in the process making them the highest scoring team in the group stage. They have been steamrolling the opposition quite every time they take the field and this applies to Bundesliga as well. On the road, Bayern have been equally ruthless accounting for four wins in their last five away matches. But surprisingly they are on the back of a defeat against Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga who beat them two goals to one at their home.

The injury list of Bayern Munich is quite big several big names set to miss the next game. This includes Benjamin Pavard, Thomas Muller, Douglas Costa, Serge Gnabry, Corentin Tollisso, Alexander Nubel, Malik Tillman and Tanguy Nianzou Kouassi. Having lost the last game, Flick is looking for redemption and might not tinker with the playing combination too much unless it’s an injury concern. Kingsley Coman and Robert Lewandowski have three goals each in this UEFA Champions league edition while Joshua Kimmich is leading the assist chart with three assists.

Odds by Casumo

Bayern are favorites and likely to win the match according to the Casumo sportsbook. Bayern Munich is placed at 1.70, Lazio at 4.80 and the odds for a draw is at 4.10.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

 

Our Tipster’s Angle

The first leg of this round of 16 clash is weighing heavily in favor of champions Bayern Munich for their all-round attacking instinct and equally strong defensive capabilities. Expect Lazio to give their hundred percent but this Bayern squad possesses way too much quality going into the game. Barring any upset Bayern are expected to romp home quite easily. 

Tip 1: Bayern To Win

In the last five seasons of the UEFA Champions League Bayern had failed to cross the round of 16 only once in the 2018-19 season when they faced off against Liverpool who eventually went on to win the title that season. In the rest of four seasons, they had managed to qualify to the semifinals on two occasions, round of eight on one occasion and winning the championship last year. This clearly shows the dominance Bayern has shown in the Champions League over the past years. In the last ten matches that Bayern have played, they have won seven matches losing only two in the process. The avg number of goals scored by Lazio is 1.8 while that of Bayern is 3.0 also while keeping two clean sheets and Lazio keeping zero clean sheets in the group stages, clearly shows who the better team is going into the match. Taking nothing away from Lazio, they being the rookie in this case might not be able to match the speed and quality of Bayern on both attacking and defensive fronts. So Bayern is most likely to come out as the winner in this game. According to the Casumo sportsbook, the odds for Bayern to win is 1.70.

Tip 2: Total Goals Under 3.5

In the last five matches, Bayern have seen the total goal count under 3.5 on three occasions. Also in the last five matches, Bayern played in this competition which includes the group stage matches the total goal count has been under 3.5 on three occasions as well. On the other hand, Lazio have had a total goal count of under 3.5 on seven occasions in the last ten matches they have played across all competitions. In the group stage matches also the total goals has been under 3.5 in four of the last five matches Lazio played. Thus it is expected that the total goals to be under 3.5 in this round of 16 clash between Lazio and Bayern Munich at 1.63 according to the Casumo Sportsbook.

Conclusion

This is expected to be a cracker of a game considering Bayern had lost their previous game and Lazio had won their previous encounter coming into the game. Bayern clearly the better side and are likely to make it to the next round. Summarising a couple of bets mentioned above.

1. Bayern To Win @ 1.70
2. Total Goals Under 3.5 @ 1.63

Check out our Champions League Odds Here