Liverpool vs Milan Betting Tips

Liverpool are playing against AC Milan in the Champions League match on the 16th of September in the Anfield, Liverpool at 00:30 IST. Historic occasion for Milan when they take the field while Liverpool are trying to go better after their bitter last season.

Liverpool Form and Team News

It’s a known fact that Liverpool were not at their best in the last season due to injury worries all year around. But losing to Real Madrid in the quarterfinal would have been a hard pill to swallow considering they were held to a stalemate in the second home leg. Liverpool so far have been ok to say nonetheless but have they really asserted their dominance in the league, the answer is a ‘NO’. They won against Leeds but drew against arch-rivals Chelsea. Liverpool in the last season were unfortunately troubled by a lot of injuries to key players and that in turn had a major effect in them not getting into the groove in any of the competitions they were part of, still managing to finish third in the points table is a great achievement. This attitude will help them in the tough matches they are going to be part of in the latter part.

Jurgen Klopp would hope for lesser injuries this season, and everything else would fall into place for the reds. The Salah, Mane, Firmino combo was not able replicate what they have been doing in the past seasons in the last season, but again this can be associated with Firmino’s regular injury breaks. Virgil is back and a major piece of the puzzle is sorted for Klopp with that, he missed the entirety of the last season and that showed in the defence as well, the reds can heave a sigh of relief.

Milan Form and Team News

Milan are back in the Champions League after eight long years and they couldn’t have asked for a better place to stamp their dominance. They are playing against Liverpool in an away fixture. Every group in the Champions League is a tough group, but group B is considerably tougher involving Atl. Madrid, Porto and Liverpool. Milan have played three league games so far, winning all games comprehensively. They are placed in the second position as of now even though it’s very early. Milan in the last season was one of the most exciting teams and turned back the years on quite a few occasions. They were even topping the league in certain stages of the season only to concede that to eventual champions Inter ending years of Juve dominance in Serie A.

Stefano Piolihas managed to show his influence in Italian football with these two seasons at the helm with Milan, Last season was one of the best for the Italian in terms of results garnered as well. Giroud has taken Italy by storm netting in two goals already. Tonali and Brahim Diaz have also managed to shake the inner netting once so far. The defense is where they should start working on and once that’s sorted, then Milan can go one position up from last season ending over ten years of wait for a league title. Zlatan has still not lit up the Milan games and even without that if Milan are playing well, we could be in for a real Milan show this season. 

Odds by Casumo

Liverpool are favourites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 1.53 odds while Milan is placed at 6.10. The odds for a draw is 4.50.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

Our Tipster’s Angle

This is a powerhouse clash and the odds don’t really support that statement. Liverpool given their home advantage and better head to head record could win it this time around. Liverpool should be wary of the fact that Milan are playing in the Champions League for the first time after many years and that could be a telling factor in how the Italian play, they could play with freedom which will be enough to beat this Liverpool side. Here though, Liverpool are expected to come out triumphs.

Tip 1: Liverpool to win

Liverpool have not been beaten by Milan in two of the last three head to head games across competitions. At home, Liverpool are unbeaten in the two games played against the Liverpool side as well. They have not lost in the last four home games winning two of the those. They have a 75 percent win record against Milan which is also one telling stat. Milan are playing a Champions League after a long time and they could falter big time here against a quality side like Liverpool. The home side is a dominant side at home and the record speaks for itself as well, So we can expect Liverpool to not just salvage at least a draw but go on to win against Milan in this game on Thursday at the Anfield. The odds for Liverpool to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 1.53.  

Tip 2: Total Goals over 2.5

In the last four games that Milan have played across competitions, two matches have had the total goals over 2.5. Liverpool on the other hand has had four out of the last seven matches when the total goals were over 2.5. Playing at home, Liverpool have had two matches also where the score line read more than 2.5 goals. Playing Head to head, these two teams have had two of the last four matches where the total goal count was more than 2.5. While playing in the Champions League, both of the head to head matches have had more than 2.5 goals. So its more likely that the match between Milan and Liverpool will have more than 2.5 goals in total. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for the total goals to be over 2.5 is 1.68.


Liverpool hold the edge in this game and Milan will need a special effort to stop the host at Anfield. However, Milan on the other hand should be focusing on winning moments which will in turn have an effect in this game. Summarizing on a couple of tips from above:

  1. Liverpool to win @ 1.53.
  2. Total Goals over 2.5 @ 1.68.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here


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