Liverpool vs RB Leipzig Betting Tips

Liverpool is hosting RB Leipzig at the Anfield, Liverpool on 11th March 2021 at 01:30 IST. The team in Red has a 2-0 away goal advantage on aggregate score over the German side. Leipzig would want to do the same thing they suffered at the hands of Liverpool at their home to overturn this aggregate score and qualify to the next round. 

Liverpool Form & Team News

Liverpool qualified as the number one team from Group D in the league stage of the Champions League. They won four from six games losing just one game. In the first leg round of 16 match against Leipzig, Liverpool went to win 2-0 playing away, thus gaining a vital away goal advantage. In the premier league, the defending champions are tottering at seventh position with just 12 wins from 28 games in total. They have lost a total of nine games so far. Playing at home, they have won just seven games from the 12 games played while losing six out of those. Liverpool are on the back of two consecutive losses in Premier League, the latest being against 18th placed Fulham losing 0-1 at home. Liverpool can’t defend the Premier League title from here on but they can make up for it if they go all the way in the Champions League this year.

Roberto Firmino, Ozan Kabak, Caoimhin Kelleher, Jordan Henderson, Joel Matip, Joe Gomez, and Virgil Van Dijk are the injured players in the Liverpool squad. The absence of key players like Firmino, Matip, Hendo, and Virgil is turning out to be a big blow for Liverpool.  Mohamed Salah is in top form like he is always with 17 PL goals and four CL goals to his name. Diego Jota has also scored four goals in the Champions League so far. The likes of Sadio Mane, Alexander Arnold, Robertson, Curtis Jones combined with Salah and Jota have to start performing in unison for Liverpool to go on and win the title they last won in 2019.

RB Leipzig Form & Team News

RB Leipzig qualified as the second-placed team from Group H which consisted of heavyweights like PSG and Manchester United in the ranks. They secured 12 points from six games winning four games in the process. Their first leg round of 16 matches against Liverpool resulted in a 0-2 loss for the home side which might turn out to be a massive blow considering the importance of away goals in the knockouts. In the Bundesliga, they are in the second position just behind leaders Bayern Munich with 53 points just two points separating the two sides. They have won 16 games from 24 and lost just three games in the process. They have also conceded the lowest number of goals so far with just 20 goals. Playing Away, Leipzig has lost just a couple of games from a total of 12 while winning 6.

There are no players on the injury list of RB Leipzig currently. Julian Nagelsmann doesn’t have to tinker too much with the playing combination considering they don’t have any injury concerns at the moment. He may field the same eleven which faced off against SC Freiberg which Leipzig went on to win 3-0 away. Nkunku, Sabitzer, Forsberg, Poulsen, Angelino, and Willie Orban have at least scored four goals in the Bundesliga which shows the variety of attack options the team possesses. In the Champions League, Angelino has been in top form netting as many as three goals so far into the tournament. Angelino and Nkunku have also been involved in some brilliant assists over the league stages with three and two assists respectively. Angelino is the key man for Leipzig going with the records and he might have to find his rhythm to upstage a comeback against the Reds on Thursday.

Odds by Casumo

Liverpool are favorites to win this game according to the Casumo sportsbook. They are placed at 2.35 and RB Leipzig at 2.95. The odds for a draw is 3.60.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

 

Our Tipster’s Angle

Liverpool have the advantage going into the clash but Leipzig are not expected to throw in the towel until the final whistle is blown. Also considering Liverpool is tottering with more defeats than wins in the recent past, Leipzig might feel they have the edge over Liverpool. The game will have lots of goals. Even though Liverpool are in some very bad form, they can be expected to hold onto the lead and progress through to the next round.

Tip 1: Total Goals Over 2.5

In the last eight matches Leipzig have played across competitions, they have had six games where the total goals were over 2.5. In this tournament, in the last three games, Leipzig has two games where the total goal count was over 2.5. Playing away in the last five matches, all matches Leipzig played have turned out to have more than 2.5 goals in total. Playing away in this tournament, Leipzig out of the last three matches, two matches had more than 2.5 goals in total. Considering that Leipzig needs to win the game by a goal to overturn the 2-0 aggregate score and Liverpools’ home record is pretty awful over some time now, there is every chance that Leipzig will have their tails up if they score first and will try to reverse the result to suit their favor which will result in more than 2.5 goals in total. According to the Casumo Sportbook, the odds for the total goals to be over 2.5 is 1.70.

Tip 2: Liverpool To Score Under 1.5 Goals

In the last eight matches Liverpool have played across competitions, they scored 1.5 goals in six matches out of those. Playing at home in the last five matches, none of the five saw Liverpool scoring more than 1.5 goals i.e. they scored less than 1.5 goals in all five matches. In this tournament, three of the last four have seen Liverpool scoring under 1.5 goals. While playing at home in this tournament, both of their last two matches have reportedly not seen Liverpool scoring more than 1.5 goals. With the sort of form they are in, Liverpool with the added cushion of two away goals to go, might sit back and play a defensive game. So Liverpool is more likely to score under 1.5 goals in this clash. The odds for Liverpool to score under 1.5 goals is 1.72 according to the Casumo Sportsbook.

Conclusion

It’s more likely to be a high scoring game with Leipzig trying to keep the losing streak of Liverpool at home continuing while Liverpool would want to keep the away goal advantage intact and try to counter-attack Leipzig. Summarising on a couple of tips from above.

1. Total goals Over 2.5 @ 1.70
2. Liverpool To Score Under 1.5 goals @ 1.72

Check out our Champions League Odds Here