Napoli vs Atalanta Betting Tips

Napoli will host Atalanta in the first leg of the second semifinal of the Coppa Italia at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples on 4th February 2021 at 01:15 IST. Napoli will be hoping to make the best use of the home advantage. While Atalanta will be looking to bounce back from a 1-3 loss over Lazio in Serie A.

Napoli Form & Team News

Napoli has won three and lost two matches from their last five matches in all competitions. They are currently in the fifth spot of the Serie A points table this season with 37 points from 19 matches. They have a really good goal difference as they have scored 43 goals and have conceded just 19 goals. They managed to beat Empoli in the pre-quarter-finals and Spezia in the quarter-finals.

The veteran Dries Mertens will not take part in the clash against Atalanta as he is suffering an ankle injury. Apart from him, Fabian Ruiz Pena will also miss the Atalanta clash as he is out with Covid-19. Lorenzo Insigne and Hirving Lozano have to really step up in the absence of Mertens, as he is the team’s best creator with six assists. Both Insigne and Lozano have scored nine goals each this season in the Serie A. 

Atalanta Form & Team News

Atalanta’s 14 match unbeaten streak was snapped by Lazio last week in Serie A. After that win, Lazio leapfrogged Atalanta into the sixth spot and left Atalanta in the seventh with 36 points from 20 matches. They have scored the second highest number of goals this season with 45 goals. They beat Cagliari 3-1 and Lazio 3-2 in the last two Coppa Italia matches this season. They have two wins, two draws and a loss under their belt in the last five matches.

Atalanta will be without the services of Hans Hateboer and Cristian Gabriel Romero for the match against Napoli. Atalanta are in some good goal scoring form courtesy of some good form by Luis Muriel and Duvan Zapata in front of goal. They have scored 19 goals in the Serie A this season. Apart from that, Zapata has four assists to his name. The assist chart is led by Josip Ilicic with five assists.

Odds by Casumo

According to the Casumo sportsbook, Napoli are the favorites to win the match and are placed at 2.43 odds. The underdogs Atalanta are placed at 2.80 and a draw at 3.35 odds.

Check out our Coppa Italia Odds Here 

 

Our Tipster’s Angle

As this is a cup match, it is expected to be a free scoring match with goals coming at both the ends. This even looks like an even contest with nothing to separate between the two sides and might end in a stalemate. Atalanta will be looking to play safe as they will host the second leg.

Tip 1: Total Goals Over 2.5

Both the teams are in good form and also have been scoring a lot of goals in Serie A. In the last five head to head matches, 17 goals were scored in total. And also, over 2.5 goals were scored in four of the last five head to head matches. Also, in the last five matches played in Naples, over 2.5 goals were scored in all the five matches. In the last nine matches that Napoli played, over 2.5 goals were scored in seven matches. On the other hand, Atalanta had over 2.5 goals in eight of the last ten matches that they played in all competitions. So, it is evident that over 2.5 goals are more likely to be scored at 1.62 odds available at the Casumo sportsbook.

Tip 2: Atalanta To Win or Draw

In the last five head to head matches, Napoli have just won two matches and the remaining three matches have ended in either a draw or Atalanta win. It is a similar story even if we consider the last five head to head matches that Napoli hosted. Atalanta are in some good form as they have just one loss in the last 15 matches played in all competitions. Napoli on the other hand, have three losses in the last seven matches played in all competitions. So, it is more likely that Atalanta will at least salvage a point from the first leg match against Napoli at 1.57 odds available at the Casumo sportsbook.

Conclusion

Both the teams will be looking to add another cup in their cabinet and this fixture is likely to set up the teams for the second leg in a week’s time and also the finals. With the form that they are in, Atalanta is more likely to qualify for the finals. Summarizing a couple of bets mentioned above.

1. Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.62
2. Atalanta To Win or Draw @ 1.57

Check out our Coppa Italia Odds Here