Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips

PSG takes on Bayern Munich at Parc des Princes in the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal on 14 April 2021 at 00:30 IST. In the first leg, PSG defeated Bayern Munich by a scoreline of 3-2 and gained away goals advantage. In their last Ligue-1 match, PSG defeated Strasbourg comfortably by a scoreline of 1-4 whereas Bayern managed a 1-1 draw against Union Berlin. The stakes are high and a high-intensity match is expected.  

PSG Form & Team News

Though PSG is placed second on the Ligue 1 table behind Lille with 66 points, they come into this match with a lot of confidence after beating Bayern in the first leg and winning comfortably against Strasbourg in the Ligue-1. But there will be some concern about their form at home as they have now lost three matches in a row at home. However, they are enjoying a good run in the UCL this season and will be oozing with confidence after a 3-2 away win against the defending UCL champions. 

PSG will be without Abdou Diallo, Marquinhos, Layvin Kurzawa, Mauro Icardi, and Juan Bernat who are all out injured. Doubts remain over the availability of Marco Verratti and Alessandro Florenzi who had tested positive for COVID-19. Kylian Mbappé continued his good form in the UCL and scored two goals against Bayern in the first leg. He has been supported well by Neymar who has six goals in the UCL with two assists. Mauricio Pochettino is expected to start with a similar eleven that featured in the first leg with Mbappé, Neymar, Draxler, and Di María forming the attack with Keylor Navas as the goalkeeper. 

Bayern Munich Form & Team News

For the high standards set by Bayern Munich, they have looked off-color in their last two matches. While they suffered a defeat against PSG, they managed only a draw against Union Berlin in the Bundesliga. Yet Bayern is undefeated in its last five Bundesliga matches, and after 28 matches, Bayern is at the top of the table with 65 points. The defending champions will look to put up a great fight against high flying PSG and progress to the next round. 

Bayern Munich has a huge list of injured players heading into this match and their availability is in question. The players currently injured are Jérôme Boateng, Coman, Marc Roca, Lucas Hernandez, Goretzka, Niklas Süle, Gnabry, Ron-Thorben Hoffmann, Tolisso, Douglas Costa, Malik Tillman, and Robert Lewandowski. Hans-Dieter Flick will hope that players pull up before the match day and he can start with his best eleven. Robert Lewandowski looks set to miss this match and this could be a huge blow to Bayern. Lewandowski has been the top scorer for Bayern in the UCL this season with five goals. The onus will be on team veterans Thomas Müller and Manuel Neuer to get their team over the line. 

Odds by Casumo

According to the Casumo sportsbook, Bayern Munich is the favorite to win the match. They are placed at 2.08 odds, while PSG is placed at 3.15 and the draw is at 3.95.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

 

Our Tipster’s Angle

Bayern Munich has been depleted with injury concerns and the first leg result has further increased their troubles. They need to win this match while also keeping an eye on the away goals as they have conceded three in the first leg. But the defending champions still have world-class players on their side and they have an excellent UCL record under their current manager Hans-Dieter Flick. Thus, Bayern Munich is expected to win this match. 

Tip 1: Total Goals – Under 3.5

After the first leg, Bayern Munich is up against the wall and will require to score vital away goals to qualify for the next round. Bayern has scored 26 goals in 9 matches averaging 2.9 goals per match in the UCL this season. PSG has defended well this season and has conceded only 10 goals in 9 UCL matches while keeping two clean sheets. In the Ligue-1, PSG has scored 35 home goals while conceding only 11 in 16 home games. Both the teams have the best defenders in the world on their side and the scoreline from the first leg will surely influence the number of goals scored in this leg. The total goals scored in the match are expected to be under 3.5, and 1.79 odds are available for the same on the Casumo sportsbook.

Tip 2: Bayern Munich to Win

Apart from the hiccup in the last UCL match, Bayern Munich has been in prolific form in the competition under Hans-Dieter Flick. The defending champions have dominated this season in the Bundesliga as well and are at the top of the table. These two sides met in the last season’s UCL final where Bayern defeated PSG to win the championship. PSG has now lost three games in a row at home and is up against a dominant Bayern side. Bayer has a lot of depth in its side and is expected to come out all guns blazing in the second leg of the UCL. Considering the quality of players and experience of playing big matches, Bayern Munich is likely to win this contest, and 2.08 odds are available for the same on the Casumo sportsbook.

Conclusion

We are most likely to see a closely fought match between the finalists of the last season, and it is going to be a test of temperament. PSG has been victorious on the last four occasions when they hosted the German side but one cannot underestimate the depth and quality of the defending champions. We are in for an exciting night in the UCL. Summarizing a couple of bets mentioned above

1. Total Goals – Under 3.5 @ 1.79
2. Bayern Munich To Win @ 2.08

Check out our Champions League Odds Here