Paris Saint-Germain vs Manchester City Betting Tips

Paris Saint-Germain are hosting Manchester City in the first leg semifinal of the champions league at Parc des Princes in Paris on 29th April 2021 at 00:30 IST. Two teams, two entirely different styles of play, two different strategies, one playing as a team while the other has real game-changers up their ranks. A mouth-watering clash on the cards.

Paris Saint-Germain Form & Team News

Paris Saint-Germain qualified as the number one team from Group H with 12 points from six games played. It’s been a dominant show from last season’s runners up ever since the knockouts began. They beat Messi’s Barcelona in the pre-quarters with an aggregate score of 5-2 but as a matter of fact, the second leg fixture was a mere formality given the aggregate earned by the Paris side after the first leg. They beat German Champions Bayern Munich in the quarterfinal studded with a Mbappe brilliance in the first leg. They now face English champions Man city in the semifinal hoping to do one step more than their last championship showing. 

Rafinha, Alexandre Letellier, Marquinos and Juan Bernat might all miss the next game against Man City owing to injury concerns. Pochettino has seamlessly received the mantle from Tuchel with the managerial duties and is doing a brilliant job keeping the results going their way. Kylian Mbappe is scripting an amazing champions league story this season with memorable performances against Barca and Bayern. He has netted eight goals thus far. Neymar would want to erase his memories of a failed quest for champions league glory last season with nothing less than a win.

Manchester City Form & Team News

Manchester City was the number one team after the group stage in this year’s Champions League. They qualified with 16 points from six games with five wins to their name. In the pre-quarters, Manchester City beat Borussia M’Gladbach by an aggregate score of four goals to zero. And in the Quarterfinals, they faced Germans Borussia Dortmund and went to win both the legs by the same margin of 2-1 to qualify for the Semi-finals. Pep Guardiola needs to win the championship this time around which has been slipping from his grasp ever since the famous 2011 title reign with Barcelona and with the sort of team he has, he is most likely going to finish on a high. 

John Stones is on a Red card and De Bruyne with a sprained ankle is a doubtful starter. Sergio Aguero is also doubtful for the crucial PSG game owing to a Muscle injury. The team composition surrounding De Bruyne will be impacted given he is not playing but Pep will have something up his sleeve to work some magic. Torres is the highest goal scorer with four goals to his name while Foden and Gundogen have also netted three goals each. De Bruyne with four assists remains the team’s main man and the defense consisting of Cancelo, Dias and co. are a great lot.

Odds by Casumo

Man City are favorites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 2.14 odds while Paris Saint Germain is placed at 3.05. The odds for a draw is 3.90.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

 

Our Tipster’s Angle 

Man City might earn some crucial away advantage here given their rampaging form across competitions, while PSG might need the PSG that played against Bayern in the first leg fixture to win against the formidable City lineup. With the likes of Mbappe, Neymar on one side and De Bruyne, Mahrez and co. on the other, we surely can expect a lot of goals. Surely, defensive tactics will be crucial for the winning side. 

Tip 1: Total Goals over 2.5

Five of the last six matches that Paris Saint-Germain have played across competitions have had the total goals to be over 2.5. While playing at home, Paris Saint-Germain have had three of the last five matches where the total goals have been over 2.5. In this champions league alone, Paris Saint-Germain have had two of the last four matches where the total goals have been over 2.5. In the case of Manchester City, four of the last six matches played across competitions, have had the total goals to be over 2.5. Playing away, two of the last three have also had the total goals to be over 2.5. Their last two matches in the champions league this year have also had the total goals to be over 2.5. So it’s quite likely the match will have over 2.5 goals. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for the total goals to be over 2.5 is 1.60.

Tip 2: Both teams to score

In the last six matches played by Paris Saint-Germain across competitions, four have had both teams have scored. While playing at home, one of the last two matches Paris Saint-Germain have played across competitions have had both teams scoring.  Three of the last four matches that they have played in the Champions League this year have had the side from Madrid being involved in both teams scoring scenarios. Four of the last six matches Manchester City have been part of have had the above condition being satisfied. Two of the last four matches played away by Manchester City have also had the condition satisfied. The last head to head match between the two sides though have not yielded the condition as mentioned above, but it’s most likely both teams might end up scoring. The odds for Both Teams to score according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 1.54

Conclusion

Two League Giants clashing in Paris with hopes of winning the coveted trophy. Man City start favorites but last season’s runners up might as well topple the Pep army. Mbappe, Neymar and co. will have a say in this fixture.  Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1. Total Goals over 2.5 @1.60
  2. Both teams to score @ 1.54

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

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