Porto vs Atletico – UEFA Champions League Betting Tips

Porto welcomes Atletico Madrid in a crunching task to qualify for the next stages of the Champions League or even to qualify for Europa League. The only club that survived Group B is Liverpool, and that has left other clubs fighting for 1 spot. 

Porto is currently placed a point above Atletico Madrid, but even a draw in this match can be fatal because if AC Milan wins Liverpool, they are out of the second position.  

Atletico Madrid sits at the bottom of the group, but they are not totally out as they are 1 point from the second spot, but they need a win to qualify. 

Which team will qualify for the UCL knockout stages? Here we present the team news and match tips. 

Porto Form and Team News

This group hasn’t been easy for Porto as they have struggled to win their matches. In the UCL this season, they have only managed to win 1, draw 2 and lose 2. Also, they have scored 3 goals and conceded 8 goals season in the UCL—the worst of the group. 

Their last UCL game was a loss to an already qualified Liverpool, and a draw would have put them in an excellent position ahead of this match, but they failed to secure it. 

For the team news, Porto has some names set to miss this match due to injury or match fitness. Some of these players are Marcano Ivan,  Pepe, and Conceicao Francisco. 

Atletico Madrid Form and Team News

Atletico Madrid has been unlucky in the UCL this season as they have been hit with a red card in matches they looked like getting a draw or win. They have been porous at the back, which has led them to concede 7 goals in the UCL Group B.

In their Champions League matches this season, they have won just 1 match, drawn 1, and lost 3. Two of their losses came against group leaders Liverpool. 

For the team news, Atletico Madrid has two players out with injury: Gimenez Jose Maria and Carrasco Yannick. 

Odds By Casumo

Atletico Madrid is the Casumo bookie favorite to win this fixture at 2.50 odds, while Dortmund is placed at 2.88 odds. If the match is to be a draw, the odds is 3.35. 

Check out our Champions League Odds Here


Our Tipsters Angle

These two sides have already met before this season in the Champions League, and it ended in a goalless draw. Porto is sitting second at their UCL group, and even though a draw will see them qualify at least for Europa League knockout stages, it might stop them from going through the UCL knockout stages. 

Checking their H2H over the years, in their last 5 meetings, Porto has won 2, Atletico Madrid has won 2, and a draw which happened at their first leg this season. Below are our tips for the game. 

Tip 1: Atletico Madrid Win or Draw (x2)

Atletico Madrid needs this win both for pride and what is at stake. They are much equipped in the squad to pull this off, and Porto will be without veteran defender Pepe which is already a huge loss. 

Also, over the past years, Atletico Madrid has shown that they can win this sort of match. However, we should not undermine the quality and resilience of Porto. They have been able to keep Atletico Madrid quiet and repeat it. 

Atletico Madrid to win or draw is available at Casumo Sportsbook with 1.41 odds.

Tip 2: Under 3.5 Goals

This match shows all indications of being a low-scoring game. Porto might want to sit back and counter-attack, or if an early goal happens, the one team might want to see off the game by holding unto their lead. 

We expect goals in this match but not more than 3 goals due to how both teams play and likely setup. 

At Casumo sportsbook, Under 2.5 is placed at 1.24 odds.  


The Champions League Group B can be a central talking point by Thursday due to the nature of the game and what is at stake. Both teams will be ready from the onset and go for the win, and even though we can’t say for certain the match outcome, we think that Atletico Madrid looks like the best team to qualify from this group. 

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

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