Portugal vs Germany – Euro 2020 Betting Tips

Portugal are hosting Germany in the Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany on the 19th of June 2021 at 21:30 IST. The Germans played out of their skin against the champs Portugal still ending up on the losing side, while Portugal even after a horrible 80 minutes, still winning it 3-0, both teams have been a stark contrast of each other and results signifying the same. 

Portugal Form and Team News

Portugal for most of the last game to be precise, for 80 minutes of the last game against Hungary looked like a team for ideas until a huge turn of events after that which lead to a 3-0 smashing at the end. Portugal cannot repeat the same against any of the other opponents in the group for which they would pay a very heavy price doing so. In the Qualification rounds, Portugal were part of Group B and finished as the second-best team in the group with Ukraine managing to finish first. After the eight games played, Portugal won five while losing one and drawing the two other games. They were clinical in the campaign but let slip one game which in turn made them second in the group. In the last ten matches, they have managed to win seven games while losing just one game. They also drew two games in the process. Portugal are favourites to win the cup this time with the sort of team they have. They just need to get things going in the right direction and a win against Hungary in the first match would be the best way forward for the Christiano Ronaldo led side. 

Fernando Santos as coach of the Portugal national football team has been there through the transition phases while also guiding them to the coveted EURO title in 2016. He has seen enough of this team and knows in and out of the players to make decisions that will have to start showing effect sooner than later. Rui Patricio was brilliant as usual.  Guerreiro turned the game on its head in the last game with his first strike into the back of the net. Captain Ronaldo was quick to pounce on any errors from the opposition defence and literally buried the game with his two-goal antics in the last game.

Germany Form and Team News

 The much anticipated France vs Germany contest was nothing more than a damp squib with all due respect to the defences which kept the attacks from both ends at bay. Germany was very much the better team on that night but it was France who managed to break the deadlock to end up victorious. In the qualification rounds, Germany finished as the number one side from the group which also had the likes of Netherlands, Northern Ireland, Belarus and Estonia. Germany won seven games out of the eight matches played. They just lost a solitary game in the campaign which also saw them scoring 30 goals and conceding just seven games in the process. In the last ten games of Germany have managed to win as many as six games, just losing two games. Germany after the legendary run in the 2014 WC have just fizzled away from the championships after that. They have not been able to replicate anything similar to that performance.

Coach Joachim Low’s spectacular German coaching career is coming to an end after this championship. He would like to sign off on the best note possible and try to revoke that winning formula within the team to have any chance in this group. Toni Kroos easily had the best game for any German on the pitch against the French in the first game, the likes of Gnabry, Havertz and Muller were not able to translate shots into goals which hurt the team big time. Kimmich and Gosens had a decent last game nonetheless.

Odds by Casumo

Germany are the favorites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 2.30 odds while Portugal is placed at 3.25. The odds for a draw is 3.35.

Check out our Euro2020 Odds Here

Our Tipster’s Angle

This could well be the heavyweight bout we have been waiting for in the EURO this year. Both teams could have been at the opposite ends of the spectrum given not for slipups from defences in the first game, For Portugal, it was Hungary’s defence that paved the way while Germany have none other than themselves to blame. Portugal if they produce the last 10-minute show, they could win here while Germany needs to get the accuracy proposition into play and they could also win this. 

Tip 1: Draw No Bet Germany

Portugal were struggling against Hungary and did not look like the outfit that were defending their crown, instead only after a lot of brain fades and hiccups did they finally manage to win the tie. Germany were professional just barring one aspect of the game i.e shots on target, if they get that aspect of the game in play then this is a very hard outfit to win against. Portugal have managed to win just one of the last five matches against Germany. This head to head stat clearly proves the dominance the Germans have had over the Portuguese in the past. The recent record of both the teams are different by the way and is favouring Portugal but Germany have this uncanny ability to step up on big occasions. So it’s evident that Germany are going into this game with their tails up and are expected to walk away with at least a draw in this tie. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for Draw No Bet Germany is 1.64.

Tip 2: Both teams not to score

In the last five head to head matches where Germany have gone unbeaten against neighbours, Portugal have also seen three games where either or both teams failing to score. This record while playing with Portugal as the host, says one of the last two head to head matches have also been maintained. Seven of the last ten matches of Portugal have also satisfied the above criteria. While playing at home as well, all five of their last five matches have also seen both teams not scoring. Five of the last nine games where Germany was part of were satisfying the condition as well. Both of the last two away games have also had both teams not scoring. Therefore we can conclude that it’s quite likely that both teams to not score. The odds for Both teams to not score according to Casumo Sportsbook is 1.96.

Conclusion

Portugal goes in as favourites, but Germany could have some other ideas as well. This game could well turn the group on its head and we can expect the two champion sides to give us a spectacle at the end of it. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

1. Draw No Bet Germany @ 1.64
2. Both teams not to score @ 1.96

Check out our Euro2020 Odds Here