Real Madrid vs Chelsea Betting Tips

Real Madrid are hosting Chelsea in the first leg semifinal of the champions league at Estadio Alfredo di Stefano in Madrid on 28th April 2021 at 12:30 AM IST. Two former champions clashing again on the grandest stage in the first leg fixture. Real Madrid will hold the aces but Chelsea might also cause an upset too.

Real Madrid Form & Team News

Real Madrid qualified as the number one team from Group B with 10 points from six games played. They were slow to get off the blocks in this year’s Champions League but in the knockout stages have been quite prolific and seem to have found the mojo back. They won against Italians Atalanta in the pre-quarters beating them 4-1 on aggregate. In the Quarterfinal, they played against English giants Liverpool and thrashed them on aggregate 3-1 to reach the semi-final. Zidane now has a chance to add to his Champions League trophy collection with another one this year.

Toni Kross will probably miss the next game owing to physical discomfort while the likes of Federico Valverde, Ferland Mendy and Lucas Vazquez are all set to miss the next match due to injuries. Zidane has a task cut out in terms of team selection with injuries to key players and will probably have to select from the rest of the squad. Karim Benzema has shown in this season what he is capable of and with V.Junior and the mid-field trio of Kroos, Casemiro and Modric have formed a solid combo. Ramos at the back missed out on a lot of games but still a force to reckon with. 

Chelsea Form & Team News

Chelsea was the number one team after the group stage in this year’s Champions League. They qualified with 14 points from six games with four wins to their name. In the pre-quarters, Chelsea beat La Liga leaders Atletico Madrid by an aggregate score of three goals to zero. And in the Quarterfinals, they faced French Porto and even though they lost the second leg fixture by a goal to nil, they have managed to qualify to the Semi-finals on the back of a brilliant away performance in the first leg which they won 2-0. Chelsea are playing some great football under Tuchel and are expected to give a tough fight to the opposition. 

Mateo Kovacic is the only injured player in the Chelsea squad. Tuchel after the brief and resultless Lampard-era has managed to lift the team up and the high-profile signings are slowly making their names in this Chelsea squad. Olivier Giroud has been in terrific touch going into this game. He has netted six goals in this champions league so far. Timo Werner has also managed to contribute to five goals which include three goals and two assists. Kai Havertz, Hudson Odoi and Thiago Silva all hold the aces for a Chelsea win against the Spanish giants Real Madrid.

Odds by Casumo

Real Madrid are favorites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 2.35 odds while Chelsea is placed at 3.15. The odds for a draw is 3.20.

Check out our Champions League Odds Here


Our Tipster’s Angle

Real Madrid, given the current form they have carried over in the Champions League look like favorites to win this fixture going by the odds. Chelsea can turn up as they did in the first leg Porto game and cause an upset which might be a great advantage going into their home leg, but Real Madrid have started to play like the Real Madrid we have known over the years and look threatening enough to win another European title. 

Tip 1: Total Goals under 2.5

Three of the last four matches that Real Madrid have played across competitions have had the total goals to be under 2.5. While playing at home, Real Madrid have had two of the last four matches where the total goals have been under 2.5. In this champions league alone, Real Madrid have had three of the last five matches where the total goals have been under 2.5. In the case of Chelsea, five of the last six matches played across competitions, have had the total goals to be under 2.5. Playing away, four of the last five have also had the total goals to be under 2.5. Their last four matches in the champions league this year have also had the total goals to be under 2.5. Even though the two previous head to head matches between the two sides have resulted in more goals, the present form is entirely different, so it’s quite likely the match will have under 2.5. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for the total goals to be under 2.5 is 1.58.

Tip 2: Both teams to not score

In the last four matches played by Real Madrid across competitions, three have had both teams have not scored. While playing at home, two of the last four matches Real Madrid have played across competitions have had the best teams to have not scored. Three of the last five matches that they have played in the Champions League this year have had the side from Madrid being involved in both teams not scoring scenarios. All four of the last four matches Chelsea have been part of have had the above condition being satisfied. Four of the last five matches played away by Chelsea have also had the condition satisfied. The two head to head matches between the two sides though have not yielded the condition as mentioned above, but under the present scenario, Both teams are not playing the same brand of football they played back then. The odds for Both Teams to not score according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 1.75.


A classic Champions League tie on the cards. This might well be one of those contests which will be itched in the record books for the ages. Two heavyweight giants in club football clashing at the grandest stage in the first leg fixture of this Champions League Semifinal. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1. Total Goals under 2.5 @1.58
  2. Both teams to not score @ 1.75

Check out our Champions League Odds Here

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