Roma vs Ajax betting tips

Roma vs Ajax Betting Tips

Ajax are hosting Roma at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on Friday the 16th of April 2021 at 00:30 IST in the second leg fixture of the Europa League Quarter Finals. Roma have gained an upper hand in the first leg but Ajax can never be counted out until the last minute of the game. 

Roma Form and Team News

Roma topped the group in the league stages of the Europa League this season with as many as four wins from the six games played. They were part of Group A and secured 13 points to qualify for the next round. Roma in the pre-quarterfinals beat Ukrainian Shakhtar Donetsk by a comprehensive margin finishing with a scoreline of five goals to one played across two legs winning both legs.  They have also beaten the Dutch Ajax in the first leg by 2-1 in the away fixture and carry a crucial two-goal cushion into the next game which is an advantage for the team from Italy. Roma considering they are presently in the seventh position which does not guarantee any qualification for any big championships will need to produce performances to remember here and nothing less than a triumph will help their cause. 

Lorenzo Pellegrini, Leonardo Spinazzola, Stephan El Sharrawy, Chris Smalling, Marash Kumbula, and Nicolo Zaniolo are the injured players in the Roma squad. Carles Perez might replace the suspended Pellegrini in the lineup. Dzeko who was rested for the match against Bologna might start giving them an added advantage. Mayoral has been top form netting in seven goals in the Europa League this season. Dzeko, Ibanez have all chipped in when necessary. Spinazzola who is set to miss out is a huge blow but the likes of Vertout and Mayoral have to step up.

Ajax Form & Team News

Ajax were knocked out from the Champions League this season after having had to finish in the third position in Group D which Liverpool and Atalanta qualifying to the next round. Ajax were subsequently slotted into the Europa League due to this. Ajax in the pre-quarterfinals, beat Young boys without a competition. It was a landslide victory considering they won across the two legs by margins greater than two goals at least. In the quarterfinals first leg fixture at home though, they found a Roma side which were hard to break open and consequently ended up losing the tie 2-1 also conceding a two-goal cushion going into the flag end of the tie. Ajax needs to bring their A-Game on Friday in order to have a sniff and in turn make a comeback out of that.

Erik ten Hag has been quite splendid with his tactics all through the season. The likes of Tadic, Haller and Antony have all reveled under the manager. Scherpen has also been sharp with his reflexes. Sean Klaiber was injured during the last match which makes his participation under the scanner for the next game. Tadic, Klassen have netted three goals each making them the top goal scorers for Ajax this season in the Europa League alone. Neres, Tadic, Gravenberch have also been prolific with their play-making skills and their contribution on Friday will become vital if Ajax are to qualify for the next round. 

Odds by Casumo

Ajax are favorites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 2.28 odds while Roma is placed at 2.75. The odds for a draw is 3.80.

Check out our Europa League Odds Here


Our Tipster’s Angle

The dominance shown by Ajax in the league is a clear indicator of the potential the Dutch team possesses. They went down in the first leg but they are expected to make a comeback in the second leg and that statement also comes from the fact that Roma have been quite inconsistent in this season following up a win with a draw or defeat mostly. Not a lot of goals expected but a great game can be anticipated. 

Tip 1: Draw No Bet Ajax

Ajax were in brilliant form going into the first leg fixture which happened last week, but consequently, they ended up losing the game by 2-1. But considering that as a one-off game, Ajax has all potential to come back stronger in the second leg fixture on Friday. They have lost just a couple of games in the respective league playing as many as 28 games in the process. Roma on the other hand have been quite inconsistent struggling to keep the form in successive games.  This might be the deciding factor that keeps Ajax afloat in the Europa League, and a comeback is most likely on the cards. Ajax just needs to put their heads up and even if they have an average, the quality of the side is such that they can salvage at least a draw in this fixture. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for Draw No Bet Ajax is 1.73. 

Tip 2: Total Goals under 3.5

In the only head to head match between the two sides played during the first leg fixture last week the total goal count was less than 3.5. Roma across competitions have had four out of the last five matches where the total goal count has been under 3.5. At home, all of their last five matches have had total goals under 3.5. Ajax on the other hand across competitions, in the last three matches they have played, all three have seen less than 3.5 goals scored. Playing Away, in the last five matches, Ajax have had a 100 percent record of the total goals to be under 3.5. So with respect to the above stats, we can say the match between Ajax and Roma would quite likely end up with less than 3.5 goals. The odds for the total goals to be under 3.5 is 1.63 according to the Casumo Sportsbook.


An edgy game on the cards. Ajax have been dominant this season as always but faltered in the first leg. Expect them to bounce back stronger. Roma needs to keep their consistency going. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1. Draw No Bet Ajax @1.73
  2. Total Goals Under 3.5 @ 1.63

Check out our Europa League Odds Here

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