Roma vs Napoli betting tips

Roma vs Napoli Betting Tips

Roma are hosting Napoli at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on the 22nd of March 2021 Monday at 1:15 AM IST. The Champions League, Europa League and Champions League Qualification scenarios from Serie A might interchange after this game considering a win for either team. Napoli has a game in hand as well.

Roma Form & Team News

Roma are playing a good brand of football winning mostly and losing a few games as well. They are not drawing many games which unfortunately is hurting them in terms of the number of defeats they could’ve avoided but also it’s a blessing in disguise of the number of games Roma have been able to close out with a one-goal difference. They are placed sixth in the points table just under Napoli with 50 points from 27 games. They have won 15 games and lost seven in the process. At home, Roma are second to just Inter in terms of the points garnered from the home games with 33 points from 14 games losing just a solitary game. Their last match against Shakhtar Donetsk in the Europa League also had the side from Italy winning 2-1 while on the road.

Bruno Peres, Roger Ibanez, Chris Smalling, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Juan Jesus, Jordan Veretout, and Nikolo Zaniolo are all on the injured list of the Roma squad. Paulo Fonseca might make some changes to the squad that faced Shakhtar. Jordan Veretout and Henrikh Mkhitaryan have been in sensational form netting a combined total of 19 goals with Veretout scoring ten and Henrikh scoring nine goals respectively. Lorenzo Pellegrini also has been quite stunning in the midfield assisting on 6 occasions. Given Veretout and Mkhitaryan are not able to play the next game against Napoli on Monday owing to injury concerns, Dzeko and Pellegrini might need to step in big time. 

Napoli Form & Team News

The side in Blue are on an unbeaten run in the last five matches across competitions. Napoli have been magnificent leading up to the flag end of the season winning as many as four matches in the last five and drawing the rest in the last five matches where they are unbeaten. In the league, Napoli is placed fifth with 50 points from 26 games. They have won 16 times and lost eight games as well. They have the least number of draws for a team this season in Serie A with just two draws. Napoli have been ordinary while on the road winning seven of the 13 away games they have played so far losing five games in that. Napoli’s last game against Milan which they went on to win 1-0 away showed the variety that Napoli possesses across the field ranging from a tight defense to a creative midfield and a lethal attack.

Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Stanislav Lobotka, Amir Rrahmani, Faouzi Gholam, and Andrea Petagna are the injured players in the Napoli squad. The core of the squad is expected to be the same for the next game given no last-minute injury concerns, Gattuso is not expected to change the squad too much from the last game against Milan. Lorenzo Insigne is in terrific nick netting as many 13 goals and having a total goal contribution of 17 with four more assists. Lozano too is showing promise with nine league goals while Politano is not too far behind with eight goals in the league so far. Insigne is expected to lead the charge against Roma in the next game as well on Monday with CL qualification at stake. 

Odds by Casumo

Both teams are placed at 2.63 odds with a prospect of the draw at 3.45 odds according to the Casumo Sportsbook. 

Check out our Serie A Odds Here 


Our Tipster’s Angle

An edgy game on the cards, most likely going Roma’s way considering their form at home is quite stunning this season. Napoli with the likes Insigne, Mertens and Politano will come hard at them. The game might be spattered with a lot of goals with the amount of quality upfront for both the teams.

Tip 1:Total Goals Over 2.5

All of the last four head to head matches have had more than 2.5 goals. At Roma, Three of the last four have had more than 2.5 goals. The stat is the same while playing at Roma in this tournament as well. Roma in the last three matches have had two matches of 2.5 goals or more. At home, they have had four games in the last five where the total goals have been more than 2.5. Napoli too have a similar stat, they have had two of the last three matches across competitions where the total goal count is more than 2.5. Playing away, they have the exact same record where it states that they have had two games in the last four where the total goal count is more than 2.5. So we can safely say that the match between Roma and Napoli will most likely have more than 2.5 goals. The odds for the Total goals to be more than 2.5 is 1.63 according to the Casumo Sportsbook.  

Tip 2: Both Teams To Score

In the last four head to head matches played at Roma, three matches have had Both teams scoring. In this tournament alone, there have been five occasions in the last six matches where both teams have scored. Roma have had four matches out of the last seven where both teams have scored. At home, there is a 50 percent probability of both teams scoring in the last four matches. Napoli on the other hand have had four matches in the last six where both teams have gone on to score. Playing away, two of their last three matches have had both teams scoring. Playing at Roma, in this tournament, in the last four head to head to matches, three matches have turned out to be games where Both teams have scored. So going by the trend as mentioned above, we can say there is a chance that Both teams might score. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for Both teams to score is 1.48.


The odds are the same for both teams to win shows the toughness of this game, but the home record of Roma is something to take note of. Napoli’s famed attack might fire all cylinders and make a game out of this and shatter the home dominance exerted by Roma, you never know. Summarising on a couple of tips from above:

  1. Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.63
  2. Both Teams To Score @ 1.48

Check out our Serie A Odds Here 

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