Spain vs Slovakia – Euro 2020 Betting Tips

Spain is hosting Slovakia in Estadio De La Cartuja in Seville, Spain on the 23rd of June 2021 at 21:30 IST. Both teams are looking down the barrel after the disappointing second-round showings and only a win here could help them in their quest for qualification, if for a loss, a lot of other aspects might need to come into consideration for the same.

Slovakia Form and Team News

Slovakia pretty much had most of the shots and shots on target in the last game against Sweden and looked good to win it, but then an unnecessary penalty helped the Swedish side to win it and also top the group. Poland were the favourites to win the first game involving Slovakia, but they managed to topple the Lewandoski led side in spectacular fashion thus surging their way to the top of the table after that. In the EURO qualification rounds, Slovakia were part of Group E. Slovakia finished as the number three team in the group with 13 points from eight games played. They won four games while losing the rest three games in the process. They also did draw one game in the campaign. They did not score many goals with just 13 strikes in the back of the net and also conceded 11 goals. They had to fight it out against Ireland in a playoff scenario to qualify for the elite championship. They won just three games in the last ten matches, drawing a massive four games, also losing as many as three games within that. Slovakia would need a good start in the championship and given their five-match winning streak ended with the last game, they will need to be at their best facing the Spain team in the last group match for both sides on Wednesday. 

Centre Back Skriniar was the star in the last game with many useful passes and interceptions. Kucka and skipper Hamsik were also decent throughout the game and would hope to step up their game in the next games. Coach Stefan Tarkovic had to grind it out to reach the championship, but their recent five-six matches have been quite good and also their head to head record against the Spain team needs to be corrected, they are lagging behind against the Spanish and this game could be a chance to rectify that. 

Spain Form and Team News

Spain are managing to keep producing dismal performances game after game and the last game was nothing different. They had pretty much everything in their control but when it comes to the attacking third, they are flattering big time. They couldn’t defend the lead against Poland and eventually ended up with a draw. Spain in the first round matches had a stalemate against Sweden, it was not the result that is disappointing but with whatever they did on the pitch, they should’ve seen at least three to four goals. 85 per cent possession, 17 shots, number of passes, no of crosses, no of tackles, everything favouring them, but no goals. They need to correct that if they are to have any chance of making it big in this championship. Spain were part of Group F in the EURO qualification rounds with the likes of Slovakia, Norway, Romania, Faroe Islands and Malta being the other teams in the group. With 26 points from eight games played, Spain topped the group. They won eight and drew two games in the process. They never lost a game in the campaign which is a very good record to have. We can say, Spain wasn’t as dominant as ever in the tournament scoring a lot of goals but they managed to keep the opposition scoring relatively low which is a good sign.

Former Barcelona superstar manager Luis Enrique had taken over the coaching duties of the Spanish national team some time ago. He has so far been decent with his strategies and team selections. He has a very young side at his hands which can be made into the world-beating side that Spain in the early 2010s’ were in some years time. This team has the potential to reach that point. One major setback is that their talisman captain Sergio Ramos would miss the tournament. Everyone except the strikers Ferran Torres, Morata and Dani Olmo had a decent game, the forward line has to convert the chances into goals nonetheless. 

Odds by Casumo

Spain are the favourites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 1.22 odds while Slovakia is placed at 15.00. The odds for a draw is 6.25.

Check out our Euro2020 Odds Here

Our Tipster’s Angle 

Spain have a good head to head record against Slovakia winning two games to Slovakia’s one. The recent record though favours the side from Slovakia while Spain have been drawing a lot of games off late as well which could also be seen in their last game as well, but they look the favourites given their team strength to win this tie. 

Tip 1: Total Goals over 2.5

In the case of Slovakia, in the last six matches played, they have had three games where the total goals were over 2.5. Three of the last seven matches that Spain have played across competitions have had the total goals to be over 2.5. In two of their last four head to head matches, they have had the game to have over 2.5 goals in it. Both of Spain’s last two qualification round matches also had over 2.5 goals. The record also stands for Slovakia as well where they have had a total of over 2.5 goals in four of their last six qualification matches. So it’s quite likely the match will have over 2.5 goals. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for the total goals to be over 2.5 is 1.63.

Tip 2: Both teams to score

Three of Slovakia’s last four qualification round matches had them involved in both team scoring scenarios. In the last six matches played by Spain across competitions, four of those have had both teams score. Three of the last five home matches that Spain have played lately have had both teams score. Four of the last six matches Slovakia have been part of have had the above condition being satisfied. Their last match playing away where Slovakia was part of has turned out to have both teams scoring. Two of the last four qualification matches also saw Spain being involved in both teams scoring scenarios. So it’s most likely both teams might end up scoring. The odds for Both Teams to score according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 2.28.

Conclusion

Spain may not be the same as they were in the early 2010s but they still have a team to beat any team on any given day, Slovakia needs a win here to stay in the competition without having to depend on other results in the last game. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1.     Total goals over 2.5 @ 1.63
  2.     Both teams to score @ 2.28.

Check out our Euro2020 Odds Here

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