Villarreal vs Arsenal Betting Tips

Villarreal are hosting Arsenal in the first leg semi final of the Europa League at Estadio de la Ceramica in Villarreal on 30th April 2021 at 00:30 IST. Villarreal are in marauding form in the Europa League while Arsenal have only just managed to find their footing in the last few matches in the league. 

 Villarreal Form & Team News

They finished as the number one side from Group I with 13 points from five games played. They beat Dynamo Kiev comprehensively in the pre-quarters with an aggregate score of four goals to nil, both of which ending with a scoreline of 2-0 respectively. They beat GNK Dinamo Zagreb in the quarterfinal and won both legs with aggregate scores of 1-0 and 2-1 respectively. Villarreal now faces a sterner test in English Giants Arsenal who too would want to add to their trophy cabinet the Europa League title just like how Villareal aims to win as well. 

Manu Trigueros is the only one likely to miss out on the Arsenal game due to a Red card he picked up during the last game. Emery has a lot of options to choose from and he should take heart from the fact that their showing so far in the Europa League has been consistent. Moreno and Alcacer have been the goal-scoring machines this season for Villarreal in the Europa League so far netting in six goals each. As many as eleven players have managed to open the scoring in this season’s Europa League alone tells about the form that they have been exhibiting.

Arsenal Form & Team News

Arsenal was the number one team after the group stage in this year’s Europa League. They qualified with 18 points from six games winning all six games to march into the next round. In the pre-quarters, Arsenal beat Olympiacos by an aggregate score of three goals to two, which even though they lost the second leg at home, their first leg aggregate score was enough for the gunners to qualify. And in the Quarterfinals, they faced Slavia Praha and went to win the second leg by the margin of 4-0 while drawing the first leg 1-1 to qualify for the Semi-finals. They are facing Villarreal in the semifinals to challenge for the title this season which they very dearly would need to destabilise their stake as a champions league after another rather poor PL showing.

Alexandre Lacazatte has a bad hamstring while the likes of Aubamayang is doubtful and Kieran had sustained a knee injury. The talismanic David Luiz also has a knee injury which would sideline the Brazilian for the next few games. Arteta has been in the fold of things for enough time to start making an impact with the gunners and the Europa Title would just be the best thing that can happen presently to the Holding led side. Pepe along with Willock have been quite spectacular with their goal-scoring prowess. Saka has also managed to make his influence felt in the midfield which augurs well for the team.

Odds by Casumo

Villarreal are favorites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 2.48 odds while Arsenal is placed at 2.90. The odds for a draw is 3.30.

Check out our Europa League Odds Here


Our Tipster’s Angle

Arsenal have a better head to head record but considering the fact that Villarreal can turn the tables anytime makes up for an interesting battle. Villarreal’s form in this tournament is stunning while Arsenal have only the last match in Europa to show for their dominance. Villareal might go on to win this tie, Arsenal might want to add some away goals advantage here. 

Tip 1: Total Goals over 2.5

All five of the last five matches that Villarreal have played across competitions have had the total goals to be over 2.5. While playing at home, Villarreal have had all of their last four matches where the total goals have been over 2.5. At home in Europa League, Villarreal have two of the last three matches where the condition was satisfied. In the case of Arsenal, four of the last seven matches played across competitions, have had the total goals to be over 2.5. Playing away, all of their last four games have also had the total goals to be over 2.5. In their last five matches in the Europa League, they have three games which had the total goals to be over 2.5. Their last head to head match also had over 2.5 goals in it. So it’s quite likely the match will have over 2.5 goals. According to the Casumo Sportsbook, the odds for the total goals to be over 2.5 is 2.00.

Tip 2: Both teams to score

In the last five matches played by Villarreal across competitions, all five have had both teams scoring. While playing at home, all four of the last four matches Villarreal have played across competitions have had both teams scoring. At home in the Europa League, Villarreal had two of the last three matches where both teams scored. One of the last two matches Arsenal have been part of have had the above condition being satisfied. Out of the last five matches played away by Arsenal, they have had three games when the condition was satisfied. In the Europa League this season, three of the last five matches Arsenal was part of have turned out to have both teams scoring. Their last head to head match between the two sides while playing at Villarreal also had yielded the condition as mentioned above, so it’s most likely both teams might end up scoring. The odds for Both Teams to score according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 1.74


These two teams meet very rarely and they are facing each other after  12 years. Arsenal have a good record against the side from Spain but Villarreal cannot be taken lightly as well. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1. Total Goals over 2.5 @2.00
  2. Both teams score @ 1.74

Check out our Europa League Odds Here

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