Doncaster preview

Doncaster Racing TV Trends – DAY ONE

The Sky and ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (8th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across, Sky, ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at CASUMO, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past. 

 

1.45 – Hippo Pro 3 Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 7f Sky

11/11 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/11 – Won between 0-1 times before
9/11 – Carried 9-4 or less
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Won over 6f or 7f before
8/11 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/11 – Rated between 78-85 (inc)
7/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Won last time out
Ataser (10/3 fav) won the race in 2020

CASUMO KEY TREND – 8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
CASUMO BEST BET: MODERN GAMES
CASUMO DANGER: IMPLORE

 

2.50 – Mondialiste Leger Legends Classified Stakes Cl5 (3yo+ 0-70) 1m Sky 

11/11 – Rated 69 (2) or 70 (9)
10/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Won between 1-4 times
9/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Won over 1m before
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Had run at the track before
4/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
Goddess Of Fire (33/1) won the race in 2020

CASUMO KEY TREND – Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 47% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
CASUMO BEST BET: NATURAL COLOUR
CASUMO DANGER: MUMTAAZ  

3.25 – Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f Sky 

15/18 – Never raced at Doncaster before
14/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/18 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/18 – Drawn in stalls 3-7 (inc)
10/18 – Had won over 7f before
9/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
9/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Won by the Hills stable
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/18 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/18 – Irish-trained winners
0/18 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Foxtrot Lady (18/1) won the race in 2020

CASUMO KEY TREND – 11 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-7 (inc)
CASUMO BEST BET: JUST BEAUTIFUL
CASUMO DANGER: HIGHFIELD PRINCESS

 

4.00 – Cazoo Scarbrough Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo+) 5f Sky

19/19 – Had won over 5f or 6f before
17/19 – Didn’t win last time out
17/19  – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
16/19 – Had won over 5f before
13/19 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
13/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/19 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
11/19 – Had run at Doncaster before
10/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/19 – Had won 5 or more times before
10/19 – Had 6 or more runs that season
9/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Robert Cowell
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Won by previous winners of the race
2/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
Tarboosh (8/1) won the race in 2020
Note: the 2006 renewal was staged at York

CASUMO KEY TREND – Trainer Robert Cowell has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
CASUMO BEST BET: ARECIBO
CASUMO DANGER: TARBOOSH  

 

4.30 – I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f Sky

10/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/11 – Irish (7) or GB (3) bred
9/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Rated between 91 and 98
8/11 – Won over 1m2f before
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
7/11 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
6/11 – Ran at Newmarket (2), York (2) or Goodwood (2) last time out
4/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
4/11 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/11 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/11 – Trained by David Simcock
2/11 – Won last time out
1/11 – Winning favourites
Strait Of Hormuz (6/1) won the race in 2020

CASUMO KEY TREND – 9 of the last 11 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old
CASUMO BEST BET: FAISAL
CASUMO DANGER: STRAIT OF HORMUZ 

 

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