Belgium vs Italy – Euro 2020 Betting Tips

The second tough game on the trot for the Belgian side after Portugal win earlier this week, Italy had to dig deep against Austria to win their game as well. Belgium and Italy are facing each other in the Allianz Arena, Munich in Germany on the 3rd of July 2021 at 00:30 IST. Both teams in the form of their lives and when they meet, it’s surely going to be a blockbuster. 

Belgium Form and Team News

Belgium never had it easy in their round of 16 game against Portugal. They had to do everything right and hope for luck to be on their side as well, they did that precisely and ended up winning the game on a sole goal margin, thus putting an end to the holder’s quest to defend the title. Belgium put Finland’s hopes of qualifying into their first-ever qualification on their first-ever appearance in a major league to rest with a thumping two-goal to nil win in the last group game and topping the group winning all three games. Belgium won the second game by two goals to one against Denmark. Belgium are clearly coming into the tournament as favourites, but still, there are doubts on whether they’ll falter on the big stage like they have been doing the past few years. They are facing Italy in the quarterfinals. 

Roberto Martinez, the coach of the Belgium National Football Team after having spent so many years in the camp would know the players in and out. He would need to produce the results nevertheless with the sort of players at his disposal with the current setup widely regarded as the golden generation of Belgium football history. Lukaku has been scoring goals for fun while the likes of Kevin De Bruyne, Hazard, Meunier are all in great form. The defence is all that they need to be careful about and hope to continue with their good form.

Italy Form and Team News

One of Italy’s record was broken in the last game, they had never conceded in nine games before that and Austria just managed to break that jinx, Italy won their respective round of 16 clash beating Austria two goals to one. They are now facing hot favourites Belgium for a place in the top four. Italy in the third group game against the formidable Wales were still able to keep records intact and in turn, win the game. They kept a clean slate while also scoring one goal to keep their unbeaten streak alive. Italy continued their domination in the second game with a 3-0 showing against the Swiss as well increasing their winning run furthermore. They qualified into the round of 16. A 3-0 win on the opening night against the much-fancied Turkey has put to rest any doubt about the form Italy have been carrying for some time now. Italy are serious contenders for the championship and unless for any major hiccup they should be able to pull it off as well. 

Coach Roberto Mancini has been quite magnificent with his tactics and strategies in the recent games of Italy and would hope to keep the same momentum next set of games as well. In the last game, Locatelli and Ciro Immobile are the top scorers for the Italians in the competitions so far with two goals each. Insigne and Pessina too have been splendid nonetheless. Juventus regular Chiesa too was at his best in the last game, netting in the all-important opening goal of the night. Chilleni missing out is a major blow for the Italians. 

Odds by Casumo

Italy are favourites to win according to the Casumo Sportsbook. They are placed at 2.28 odds while Belgium is placed at 3.50. The odds for a draw is 3.15.

Check out our Euro2020 Odds Here

Our Tipster’s Angle

Italy are favourites to win this game given the odds, but Belgium can’t be counted out before the game as well. Belgium as of the head to head stats are lagging the Italians by a win as well. They last played against each other five years ago and Martinez has converted this side into a winning machine ever since and this match could well be the start of an upheaval from the Belgian side going forward.

Tip 1: Belgium Total Goals over 1.5

Belgium with the number of attacking players in the mix have been terrific in front of the goal and have been scoring quite frequently as well. They have in the last ten matches across competitions like the Euros, Friendlies, World Cup qualifiers, and the UEFA Nations League have seen around six games where they have managed to score over 1.5 goals individually. While in the last five home games that Belgium have played, they have managed to score above the above limit in two matches of those. Italy also have conceded over 1.5 goals in one of their last two games while playing head to head with Belgium. Belgium have also scored over the 1.5 goal line in all ten of the qualification matches which also states the goal-scoring form they are in presently. So the game between Belgium and Finland on Saturday will most likely have Belgium scoring over 1.5 goals in it. The odds for Belgium total goals over 1.5 according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 3.35.

Tip 2: Asian Lines Total Goals over 1.75

Nine of their last ten matches of Italy across competitions have all seen over 1.75 goals scored by both teams combined. While playing away, four of their last five matches have also been the same. The head to head between the two sides have also had three of their last four matches where the total goals were over 1.75. While playing with Belgium as host, the head to head record says all three of the last three games where the above statement has been put to full effect. Belgium on the other hand at home, have had three of the last five where the condition was satisfied. They across the competitions have also seen three of their last four matches were over 1.75 goals in total. So it’s quite likely that the total goals will be over 1.75. The odds for the same according to the Casumo Sportsbook is 1.54.


A potential title challenger could be in the reckoning after this game. Both teams have their respective demons to put to rest with a win in this game. We are in for a tantalising battle between two top teams in world football. Summarising on a couple of bets from above:

  1. Belgium goals over 1.5 @ 3.35
  2. Asian Lines Total goals over 1.75 @ 1.54

Check out our Euro2020 Odds Here

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